Tropical Storm Likely to Form in the Caribbean This Week

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) reports that a tropical storm might develop in the Caribbean soon.

Currently identified as Invest 98L, this system is positioned over the eastern Caribbean, generating unpredictable storms and heavy rainfall. This area aligns with predictions made by various long-range models, according to reports. The NHC also notes that Invest 98L has maximum sustained winds ranging from 30 to 40 miles per hour.

The NHC indicates a significant likelihood—around 90%—that this system will evolve into either a tropical depression or storm in the next 48 hours. However, there is considerable uncertainty regarding its final path and intensity. Areas including Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and Cuba could be affected.

Environmental conditions seem relatively conducive for gradual development as the tropical wave advances westward at speeds of 20 to 25 mph. By midweek, a tropical cyclone is anticipated to form.

A social media post from Anibal Nieves in Ponce, Puerto Rico, provided insight into Invest 98L, showing its northern edge over U.S. territory and highlighting record-high rainfall associated with the system.

Despite some beautiful convection linked to Invest 98L, challenges exist in maintaining a closed circulation, as noted by meteorologist Andrew Powell. He pointed out that the storm’s intensity may vary significantly depending on location.

Regardless of whether Invest 98L strengthens, the ABC Islands—comprising Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao—are likely to face heavy rains and strong winds over the coming days as the system moves through the region.

Residents in Puerto Rico, Jamaica, Cuba, and Hispaniola should keep an eye on the latest updates about Invest 98L due to the potential for heavy rain and flooding risks.

The Atlantic hurricane season for 2025 concludes on November 30th.