As we enter Week 13 and December begins, the NFL season is starting to wind down. Winter is coming to sportsbooks.
After two historically great weeks in Weeks 10 and 11, Week 12 took a step back.
Our profit margin fell from 34.853 units to 30.73 units, and our pursuit of .500 status took a hit as well.
His record for the year is 27 wins and 34 losses, but it is clear that there are many long shots that were successful to varying degrees.
If we placed $10 on every bet we make, we would have made a profit of $300.73, and our return on investment of 49.3 is some of the best results in a single season.
We can expect to see more prop bets from longshot players in the future.
But especially when it comes to NFL player props and picks for Week 13.
Week 13 NFL Player Props and Picks
Brock Purdy, 1.5+ passing touchdowns -124 (BetRivers)
The biggest bet this weekend is the game you expect the 49ers to win against the Eagles. The Eagles’ secondary is far from elite and relies heavily on the pass rush to mask weaknesses.
Philadelphia has allowed the second-most passing touchdowns in the NFL behind the Washington Commanders.
There may be some concern here that the 49ers will try to “lead the CMC” for a win, but this week may be more difficult than in the past.
McCaffrey leads the NFL in touchdowns, but the Eagles have allowed the second-fewest rushing touchdowns in the NFL.
Opposing receivers have been attacking the Eagles’ secondary with certainty, and I didn’t expect that to stop this week in a big, must-win game for the Niners, who have 10 days to prepare.
Devon Ashen tops 45.5 rushing yards | 100+ +1425 (Bet 365)
He’s back and he’s going to play. Devon Ashen is Miami’s most talented running back and has been cleared to play in this weekend’s shootout against the Commanders.
Achan has cleared 100 yards in three of the five games he played in, and the managers’ run defense is nothing to write home about.
Do you want to bet on the NFL?
Achan, who ranks in the middle of the pack in yards per carry, shouldn’t be +1425 for 100 yards given his shocking early appearance.
Bet on Achane this weekend with incredible odds from Bet365.
Trevor Lawrence, Rushing Yards 10.5 Over -120 (BetMGM) | 25+ +330 | Rushing Touchdowns Anytime +430 (Fanduel)
Trevor Lawrence, who has already surpassed that number in nine of the past 11 games, is using his skill and athleticism in his third year in the league.
This line is great to target, especially considering the Bengals allow the second-most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks in the NFL.
Lawrence is also popular near the goal line, using his feet to get into the end zone three times in the last two games.
Watch as Lawrence goes wild against a Bengals team that is swallowing water and sinking.