President Joe Biden faces a much “tougher” road than his opponent to win the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidential election, says a longtime Democratic adviser. Doug Sosnick wrote in the article. new york times.
Seven states (Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina) decide the president, Sosnik analyzed. He said Biden’s chances of winning 270 electoral votes would narrow if former President Donald Trump won one or more of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
An Echelon Insights poll last week found that Mr. Trump currently leads Mr. Biden in five of the six key battleground states, excluding North Carolina. Opinion polls also showed Trump leading in two of the three states (Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin), narrowing Biden’s chances of re-election.
- Arizona: Trump +6
- Georgia: Trump +10
- Michigan: Trump +6
- Nevada: Trump +7
- Pennsylvania: Trump +4
- Wisconsin: Biden+1
Sosnik explained some of the reasons why Biden faces a tougher path to re-election than Trump, according to Axios report There are two main takeaways for Monday:
- Biden can’t do it anymore He hopes to take over Michigan, a state that has overwhelmingly voted for Democrats in the past three election cycles.
- Biden’s 2020 victory Victories in Sunbelt battleground states (Arizona, Nevada, Georgia) were due to overwhelming support from young voters and nonwhite voters. Polls show that Biden has suffered significant erosion from these voters during his presidential term.
“Mr. Biden’s declining popularity in Sunbelt states is the main reason why Trump has an advantage right now. He is having a particularly difficult time with young and nonwhite voters.” Sosnick he wrote. time:
according to 2020 exit poll, Biden won 65% of Latino voters, who make up about one-fifth of the electorate in Arizona and Nevada. Biden won 87% of black voters, 29% of the Georgia vote and 23% of the North Carolina vote. Biden also won 60% of voters aged 18 to 29. Now, let’s look at this year: A New York Times/Siena College poll released last weekend showed Biden’s support by 18 points among black voters, 15 points among Latino voters, and 14 points among Latino voters. was shown to have decreased. with young voters across the country.
Still, the key to Biden’s victory will be to perform well in the three industrial states. If Mr. Trump wins at least one of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, Mr. Biden’s path to winning 270 electoral votes will become even narrower.
If Biden and Trump maintain their leads in the currently most favorable states, the outcome of the election will be between Michigan and Arizona, two Sun Belt states where abortion is very likely to be on the ballot. It could depend on whether we win or not. Nevada.
Bad news for Biden. https://t.co/cV3loTsTLt
— Breitbart News (@BreitbartNews) April 20, 2024
Wendell Husebo is a political reporter for Breitbart News and a former Republican war room analyst.he is the author of politics of slave morality.Follow Wendell “X” @WendellHusebø or society of truth @WendellHusebo.
