2024 RBC Heritage best bets, predictions: PGA Tour odds, picks

Although I’m sad to have to wait another 52 weeks for the next Masters, I’m glad I had a great week of gambling on the PGA Tour.

There were four picks on the cards last week, three of which were acquired in cash. Scottie Schaeffler won, Xander Schauffele finished in the top 10 and Tiger Woods qualified.

Add in Stefan Jaeger for a full +5000 from a few weeks ago and this was a great start to the season. Let’s do our best to maintain this momentum at RBC Heritage.

This week’s playing course is Harbor Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina. It is a par 71 with just over 7,200 yards.

Like most of Pete Dye’s courses, this one isn’t one to blow away from the tee. With narrow fairways, doglegs, overhanging tree branches, and water hazards lurking everywhere, this course is more of a position course from the tee.

In other words, you don’t have to be a bomber to play well there.

The greens at Harbor Town are very small (3,400 square feet) and difficult to hit on average. Emphasis on both approach play and scrambling.

The three main stats for players I’m looking at this week are strokes gained on approach, strokes gained around the green, and bogey avoided.

The history of the course is pretty predictable over the years, so I don’t mind relying on golfers who have played well here in the past.

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Cameron Young wins (+3000, FanDuel)

Young has yet to win on the PGA Tour, but he has raced many times.

In his short career, he has finished runner-up seven times and third place twice. It’s only a matter of time before he gets the break he needs on Sunday.

And the fact that he has won the Korn Ferry Tour twice shows that he knows how to win.

Although most of this course is not driver friendly, nearly 40% of approach shots are taken from 150-200 yards. Young is one of the best players in the field when it comes to approach shots from that distance.

He has been in good form all year and almost won this event in 2022.

Windham Clark missed out on qualifying for the Masters, making a clean sweep even more likely this week. Getty Images

Windham Clark wins (+3500, DraftKings)

Clark missed out on last week’s Masters, making him a very attractive price point in the outright betting market.

If he qualified and had a decent weekend, his odds would likely have been in the +2000 range. In fact, it’s almost twice that.

He seems to love these signature events, as he won at Pebble Beach and was runner-up at both The Players Championship and the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

He has no weaknesses in his game and competes in this event every year.

If you want to enjoy regional stories, he won at the Carolina course (Quail Hollow) last year.

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Shane Lowry Top 10 (+330, FanDuel)

Lowry almost made my outright betting card this week, but his numbers cratered before I had a chance to bet it. Instead, I’ll be content with a top-10 finish.

His T33 result at the Masters doesn’t seem like much on paper, but he lost eight strokes on his putts. If he had been just even on the greens, he would have finished inside the top 10.

His irons and play around the greens are great and he clearly loves this course. He has three top-10 finishes in his past five starts at Harbor Town.

Russell Henry Top 20 (+115, DraftKings)

I can’t think of a better course for Henry’s game. He’s accurate off the tee, his approach is top-notch, and he’s very good around the greens.

Plus, he seems to have found something with his putting this year.

With only 70 golfers, I love his chances of finishing in the top 20. He has been able to hit that mark in full-field competition in eight of his past 13 appearances, and has hit the mark in two of his past three outings. To Harbor Town.