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US Dollar Index holds steady above 98.00 as speculation around Fed Chair grows

US Dollar Index holds steady above 98.00 as speculation around Fed Chair grows
  • The US dollar index shows some changes after losing over 0.5% on Wednesday.
  • Trump is considering Kevin Hassett, former Fed Governor Kevin Wahsh, and a couple of others for the role of Fed Chairman.
  • The CME FedWatch tool indicates a nearly 95% likelihood of a 25-basis point reduction in the Fed rate this September.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the US dollar’s value against six major currencies, remains steady after a more than 0.5% decline in the prior session. It’s trading around 98.20 during the Thursday session in Asia. Traders are anticipating the upcoming weekly unemployment claims from the US, which could be released later today.

Market players are particularly attentive to the announcement regarding the new US Federal Reserve Chairman. On Tuesday, President Trump said he plans to appoint a replacement before the week ends. He’s considering former Fed Governor Kevin Wahsh, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett, and a couple of other individuals for the position. Trump specified that Treasury Secretary Scott Bescent is not under consideration for the role.

The US dollar is facing some headwinds, especially with a weak forecast for the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report suggesting a slowdown in the labor market. This has led to heightened expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut from the US Federal Reserve in September. The market, according to the CME FedWatch tool, is pricing in a 95% chance of this rate reduction during the upcoming meeting.

Mary Daly, the President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, mentioned on Wednesday that while there has been overall progress, there’s still a need to address inflationary pressures. She noted that the Fed may have to act quickly without having the complete picture.

Moreover, Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins and committee member Lisa Cook highlighted that ongoing uncertainty continues to pose challenges for effective policy communication, complicating the central bank’s management of interest rates.

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