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Trump aims to reach the moon before China. Will he still be in office by then?

Trump aims to reach the moon before China. Will he still be in office by then?

Challenges Facing America’s Space Program

Many individuals might not fully grasp the significance of the U.S. human spaceflight program—yet it’s vital for our national and economic security. There’s an ongoing dispute between SpaceX CEO Elon Musk and NASA’s acting administrator, Sean Duffy, who is also the Secretary of Transportation.

I should mention that I know both Duffy and his wife, Rachel Campos Duffy. I was a guest on a podcast where I discussed my book. I once shared a coffee with Sean Duffy, and I see him as an honorable individual, committed to fulfilling President Trump’s promise of returning American astronauts to the Moon before their Chinese counterparts.

Moreover, I regard Elon Musk as a visionary, someone whose intellect could elevate the U.S. and humanity to unimagined heights. Whether or not officials acknowledge it, SpaceX effectively serves as America’s manned space initiative. Musk deserves a leading role at the table regarding our space endeavors.

The ongoing tensions between Musk and Duffy could hinder Trump’s objectives.

NASA has struggled for years. Since its peak in the 1960s—when landing humans on the Moon was achieved—the agency has encountered two primary issues that have diminished its standing.

First, NASA has been repeatedly overhauled whenever power shifted between Republican and Democratic administrations. For instance, Joe Biden’s presidency resulted in transforming NASA into what some consider a far-left, “woke” institution, focusing on issues like climate change and pronoun usage. If Trump were to regain the White House in 2024, he would likely pivot NASA back toward the mission outlined by John F. Kennedy in 1962.

Kennedy articulated a vision during his inauguration, expressing that the world would look to space, the Moon, and beyond and that how humanity uses this exploration would depend largely on America’s leadership.

Fast forward to 2025, and the U.S. no longer holds a dominant position; China has taken the lead. Trump’s past nomination of Jared Isaacman to head NASA could be a potential game-changer, but such success hinges on collective efforts.

This brings us to the second major grievance with NASA: it tends to be overlooked by politicians from both parties. Many view NASA’s contributions as abstract and easily ignored, failing to see it as a significant avenue for garnering votes.

Yet, the so-called “gobbledygook” is essential for ensuring our national and economic security for years to come. While self-centered American leaders may overlook its importance, China certainly does not.

Currently, the Chinese military’s space program is actively conducting lunar missions. They’ve not only landed on the Moon but are also exploring the potential of claiming helium-3 deposits found there.

Helium-3 is an isotope that could offer a seemingly limitless supply of safe, clean energy. Some estimates suggest the Moon holds over a million tons of it, with just 25 tons potentially being enough to meet the U.S. energy needs for a year.

President Trump has deemed the return to the Moon a critical mission for the U.S., yet the current implementation seems overly complex. During Apollo’s era, NASA used the Saturn V rocket, which singularly delivered the lunar module. Nowadays, NASA’s Artemis III landing plan is entangled in a commercial program that relies on multiple rockets and vehicles, including a Space Launch System rocket not built by SpaceX, all leading to potentially unnecessary complications.

There’s a significant concern here: engineers at NASA’s Johnson Space Center speculate that a single moon landing might necessitate SpaceX launching up to 40 tankers of fuel for the Starship. This proposed architecture carries high risks, and history shows documented delays and rampant cost overruns.

Mr. Trump, as a visionary, recognizes that maintaining America’s leadership in space is crucial for our national and economic interests. The team overseeing the moon landing should provide the president with a clear assessment of whether landing astronauts on the Moon before his term concludes is genuinely feasible.

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