XRP Unlocking Set for February 2026

Ripple is gearing up to release 1 billion XRP from its escrow wallet on February 1, 2026, continuing its ongoing token release timeline.

The escrow mechanism allows for the release of up to 1 billion XRP at the start of each month. However, Ripple typically re-locks about 70-80% of the issued tokens almost right away. This means only a small amount usually enters circulation. The released XRP mainly supports liquidity services, partnerships, and institutional activities.

Throughout 2025, these significant and steady releases caught attention, yet their effect on XRP’s price was quite limited as the token’s performance mirrored trends in the broader cryptocurrency market.

Given that the releases were anticipated and mostly reflected in the price, it was unlikely for prices to drop sharply; sometimes, they even rose with the market’s overall strength.

This muted response illustrates the predictability of the unlocking schedule and that most tokens have been re-escrowed, meaning the actual increase in supply is much lower than the reported figure of 1 billion XRP.

This upcoming unlock will be a test of the market’s ability to absorb the planned supply increase, with particular focus on net distribution effects and short-term price movements rather than just headline figures.

If historical trends hold, this release might not prompt any drastic fluctuations, showing how the escrow system’s predictability has gradually softened its influence on XRP’s price.

XRP Price Analysis

This situation arises at a crucial time for XRP, as it’s experiencing new capital outflows amidst a general downturn in the crypto market.

Currently, XRP is trading at $1.70, reflecting a decline of more than 2% in the last 24 hours; over the week, the token’s value has dropped by over 11%.

Overall, XRP is under significant technical pressure, trading below both its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1.97 and the 200-day SMA of $2.47. This solidly confirms a bearish trend, suggesting the recent recovery lacks sufficient broader support.

Until XRP manages to recover at least to its 50-day SMA, any positive movement is likely to encounter considerable selling pressure. Meanwhile, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 34, near the lower threshold of neutral. This indicates that the token isn’t oversold but is showing weak momentum. It suggests that while selling pressure is lightening slightly, it’s not enough to indicate a clear reversal is imminent.