Health Insurance Uncertainty for Long Island Worker
Edward Lawler, a 62-year-old from Long Island, has dedicated many years to a small printing company and expresses a genuine love for his job. However, he finds the health insurance offered by his employer to be quite costly, which would significantly reduce his $50,000 annual salary.
As a result, Lawler and his family depend on New York State’s public Essential Plan for their healthcare coverage. “We don’t have a premium,” he shared during a recent phone conversation. “You only pay out-of-pocket for doctor visits, and dental care is free. Vision is the same way.”
Over 1.7 million individuals in New York are in a similar situation, utilizing this popular insurance option that has more lenient income eligibility requirements compared to traditional Medicaid. Yet, recent federal budget cuts initiated under President Trump have cast doubt on the program’s future.
Governor Kathy Hochul and state health officials are now urgently trying to revise the Essential Plan to minimize potential coverage losses while maintaining financial stability in the state budget. Despite these efforts, it’s anticipated that many who qualify for Essential Plans may lose their coverage by July.
“Some may find coverage elsewhere,” noted Rose Duhan, president and CEO of the New York State Community Health Association. “But there will definitely be a substantial number of people left without insurance,” she added.
Best Case Scenario
The sweeping domestic policy bill passed by President Trump last year could lead to a federal funding cut of $7.5 billion annually for Essential Plans, which amounts to about half of the total funding, based on state analyses.
This funding reduction is a result of the Trump administration withholding federal support from certain immigrants who are legally in the country but not citizens. Reports indicate that around 43% of Essential Plan members are immigrants. However, New York City can’t simply cut off eligibility for these individuals; state legal precedents require providing the same insurance access to legally present immigrants as citizens.
The solution, first presented by Hochul in September, would revert to a former version of the Essential Plan that catered to New Yorkers earning up to 200% of the federal poverty level, rather than the current threshold of 250%.
For a family of three, this means reducing the annual income cap from $68,300 to $54,640, and Lawler’s household is likely to remain eligible.
However, Hochul’s administration has stated that around 450,000 individuals will still be dropped from the Essential Plan by July.
This approach would permit states to tap into trust funds associated with the earlier version of the program to help cover expenses, at least temporarily.
Consumer advocacy groups and healthcare providers in New York have voiced their support for Hochul’s initiative. Still, it awaits the necessary approval from the Trump administration to progress. As the state begins its budgeting process, the future of the Essential Plan remains uncertain, prompting officials to brace for a “worst-case scenario.”
Worst Case Scenario
State Health Commissioner James MacDonald expressed hope during a budget hearing in Albany last week that New York will receive the go-ahead for Hochul’s plan, although he’s unsure.
The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, responsible for approving Hochul’s proposal, did not respond to requests for comments.
In the meantime, Hochul’s recently released executive budget included a contingency plan, labeled a “worst-case scenario” by MacDonald during hearings.
This plan would entirely suspend the Essential Plan and transfer low-income immigrants, who qualify, to a state-only version of Medicaid.
If implemented, this proposal would cover only about 500,000 of the 1.7 million Essential Plan members, leaving around 1.2 million without coverage and costing the state over $2 billion.
Addressing Budget Challenges
New Yorkers affected by the changes to the Essential Plan might seek alternative coverage from their jobs, relatives, or the state’s Affordable Care Act marketplace. However, many plans in these exchanges can cost hundreds of dollars monthly, even with federal assistance.
Lawler remains hopeful about keeping his insurance, though he dreads the thought of not having it. “I’m in my early 60s,” he said, “If I lost my health insurance, it would be a nightmare. A complete disaster.”
State Senator Gustavo Rivera (D-Bronx), who chairs the State Senate Health Committee, mentioned that lawmakers are exploring options to utilize available funds to assist those losing coverage under the Essential Plan.
Rivera expressed optimism that the state is making progress: “We might have additional revenue compared to initial budget expectations,” he noted, indicating that the Trump administration is allowing states to capitalize on tax loopholes for longer than anticipated.
However, numerous healthcare organizations, including hospitals and other providers, are also seeking these funds. Duhan predicted that many New Yorkers, who may find themselves uninsured because of cuts to the Essential Plan and additional Medicaid alterations planned for 2027, would end up seeking care at community health centers.
Her organization estimates that these clinics could incur a loss of approximately $300 million next year due to the increase in uninsured patients, and she is urging Hochul and other lawmakers to address this issue in the budget.

