Trump’s Approval Rating at 50 Percent, Insights from Insider Advantage
Insider Advantage, recognized for its accuracy in polling, reports that President Trump’s approval rating stands at 50 percent.
This national poll, which surveyed 800 likely voters between February 17 and 18, carries a margin of error of about 3.46 percentage points. This suggests that Trump’s approval rating closely aligns with or even slightly surpasses the expected national popular vote outcome in the upcoming November 2024 election. Interestingly, while Trump’s disapproval rating is at 46%, it paints a mixed picture.
Matt Towery from Insider Advantage clarified the differences between his polls and those from other media outlets that show Trump’s approval closer to 40 percent. He noted, “There are clearly two camps of pollsters who use different methods of data collection and weighting of support. However, it is interesting to note that the company which most accurately tracked President Trump’s three elections uses similar methods.”
In contrast, Rasmussen reports that Trump’s approval is at 48%, with a disapproval rate of 51%. Meanwhile, RealClearPolitics shows Trump’s approval at 42.1% against a disapproval of 55.2%.
In response to these figures, White House Press Secretary Taylor Rogers stated that, “President Trump fights hard every day to make life more affordable for working people.” She highlighted achievements like the largest earned-income tax cut in history for the middle class and attempts to lower gas prices. While she acknowledged ongoing challenges, she asserted that Trump is delivering on his promise to make America affordable again.
It’s worth noting that Insider Advantage did not conduct national polls during the 2024 election cycle but stayed closely attuned to the races in five key swing states.
For instance, in Wisconsin, they predicted Trump would win by one point, and he ultimately won by 0.9 points. In Pennsylvania, their forecast was a one-point victory for Trump, who won by 1.7 points. They also predicted a tie in Michigan, but Trump won by 1.4 points. Their expectation of a two-point win for Trump in North Carolina became a 3.3-point victory. They even predicted a three-point win in Arizona, where he triumphed by 5.5 points. Interestingly, they predicted a tie in Nevada, but Trump won by 3.3 points.
This suggests that Insider Advantage slightly underestimated Trump’s 2024 support. One effective way to gauge public sentiment towards a president is through internal White House perceptions, but, as of now, there seems to be a lack of strategic efforts to enhance Trump’s approval ratings. That said, a 50 percent approval rating isn’t particularly shocking, especially given the current state of the economy.
