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IMF cautions that tokenized finance could worsen market crises in the future

IMF cautions that tokenized finance could worsen market crises in the future

IMF Warns on Blockchain in Financial Markets

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has cautioned that transitioning Wall Street’s trading framework to blockchain systems could accelerate financial crises beyond what regulators can manage. The potential of this technology is significant, as it offers the promise of lower costs and reduced settlement delays.

Tobias Adrian from the IMF highlighted in a report that tokenization—where assets like stocks, bonds, and cash are represented as digital tokens on a shared ledger—isn’t just a minor efficiency tweak. Instead, it represents a fundamental shift in the financial infrastructure.

Major financial players including banks, clearinghouses, and investment firms like BlackRock and JPMorgan Chase are already testing this technology in pilot programs. They anticipate that tokenization will boost trading ease for traditional assets such as stocks and bonds.

In September, Nasdaq applied to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to permit the tokenization of its stock, aiming for trading in a regulated venue similar to its current operations. Earlier this year, the New York Stock Exchange revealed plans to develop a blockchain-based platform that would support round-the-clock trading for tokenized stocks and exchange-traded funds.

SEC Chairman Paul Atkins is supportive of these tokenization efforts.

While the technology can facilitate faster transactions, Adrian pointed out that this perceived advantage might also expose vulnerabilities. He noted that stress events in financial markets could escalate more quickly, potentially limiting the time available for regulators to step in.

“Settlement delays provide a buffer,” he mentioned, allowing central banks and regulators to respond during crises. In a setup where settlements are instantaneous, there’s scant opportunity for intervention before margin calls come into play. Although the tokenized system functions 24/7, the central bank’s emergency lending mechanisms were designed for business hours interventions, Adrian explained.

He likened privately issued stablecoins—gaining traction as payment assets in tokenized markets—to money market funds, stating that while they might perform well in stable environments, they are susceptible to instability during crises.

The memo outlined three potential futures for tokenized finance: a unified system supported by central bank digital currencies, a fragmented collection of incompatible national platforms, or an ecosystem dominated by private stablecoins with diminished public support.

Adrian emphasized that policies must evolve to tackle the redistribution of trust and risk associated with tokenized systems. He advocated for measures like anchoring payments in secure currencies and clarifying the legal status of tokenized assets.

“To achieve the best outcome, policymakers need to proactively engage with the structural impacts of digital transformation, rather than merely responding as issues arise,” the memo concluded. “The opportunity to shape a tokenized financial system is present but may not last long.”

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