The latest I&I/TIPP poll shows former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 rematch as Biden continues to lose support among minority voters. found.
overall investigation Indicated In the head-to-head race, Trump has a one-point lead over Biden, with a 41% approval rating compared to 81-year-old Biden's approval rating of 40%.
Mr. Trump also has an advantage among independents, with a 6-point lead, 28% for Mr. Biden, compared to 34% for Mr. Biden. However, almost a quarter, or 23 percent, remain undecided.
The poll found Biden with a significant advantage in urban areas (55% to Trump's 31%), and Trump leading Biden in suburban and rural areas, each with Biden's 38% advantage. % compared to 44%, and Biden's 27% to 49%.
But Biden is losing support with minority voters and has more problems, according to TIPP Insights.
According to research:
An even bigger problem looms for Biden when it comes to minority voters, especially Blacks and Hispanics. In 2020, Biden won an estimated 87% of the Black vote and 65% of the Hispanic vote, while President Trump won an estimated 12% of the Black vote and 32% of the Hispanic vote, according to Roper Survey voter exit polls. Obtained. totalling.
This may be a surprising turn of events for the Democratic Party, which has for years severely suppressed the votes of the nation's two largest minorities. Current I&I/TIPP data shows Trump has a 31% Hispanic approval rating, about the same level as in 2020, but Biden's approval rating has plummeted from more than 60% to just 53%. .
Perhaps even more important is the fact that more than one in five black voters (23 percent) support Trump over Biden. The numbers “more than double his support from key voting groups since the last election,” according to the study.
The survey was conducted between January 3 and 5, 2024 among 1,247 registered voters. There is a margin of error of +/- 2.8%.
The data is consistent with GenForward's December poll, which showed Trump winning a larger share of the black vote than last time, a key demographic for Democrats. This particular poll shows that 17 percent of Black Americans support Trump and 36 percent of Latinos support Trump, the latter up 4 points from 2020. .
Recent USA TodayA Suffolk University poll showed Trump supported by 12% of black voters and 39% of Latino voters.
