The next European Parliament elections will see a “sharp shift to the right”, with populist parties expected to win in at least nine EU member states and come second or third in a further nine.
The globalist European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) think tank predicts the rise of right-wing populist parties, according to an analysis of opinion polls in each EU member state combined with statistical models based on the past performance of each party. . In June's European Parliament elections, it came first in Austria, Belgium, the Czech Republic, France, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland and Slovakia.
on the other hand, report Populist parties in Bulgaria, Estonia, Finland, Germany, Latvia, Portugal, Romania, Spain and Sweden are also predicted to make significant gains and be on track to come in second or third place in the vote share.
The rise of populist nationalist parties will be led by the Identity and Democracy (ID) parliamentary group, which includes Alternative for Germany (AfD), Marine Le Pen's French National Rally (RN), and the Italian Deputy Prime Minister's League. It will be. Minister Matteo Salvini. According to forecasts, ID will increase its representation in the EU parliament by 40 seats, giving it 98 out of 720 seats.
This would make the ID coalition the third-largest force in parliament, overtaking the Renew Europe (RE) bloc, led by French President Emmanuel Macron's Renaissance party. This is likely to be a major political blow to Macron's globalist government in France, and perhaps to his standing across Europe.
This predicted surge is reminiscent of the 2019 European elections, the last time the UK was a member of the EU, when Nigel Farage's Brexit Party was a huge success and overnight became the UK's largest seat in the European Parliament. Not only has it become the largest party in the European Parliament, but it has also become the single largest party in the European Parliament. All of Europe.
The authors believe that populist parties intend to continue campaigning on the back of last year's successes, particularly the landslide victory of the Geert Wilders Freedom Party (PVV) in the Dutch general election in November and the growing influence of the National Rally in France. He said that. It will play a “key role in shaping European politics” during and after the EU parliamentary elections.
“This result shows that the European Parliament is likely to shift sharply to the right after June 2024. It is the most important EU institution when it comes to foreign policy and how political groups align after elections. However, the impact these elections will have on national debates in Member States will have a significant impact on the ability of the European Commission and Council to make foreign policy choices, and in particular on the implementation of the next stage of the European Green Deal. will be given,” they said.
In 2023, as the arrogance of Europe's political systems was exposed and the failure of open border policies became clear to the world, populist parties emerged.https://t.co/X3dULKSmmr
— Breitbart London (@BreitbartLondon) January 1, 2024
Energy prices have soared across Europe over the past two years, following the failure of so-called green energy initiatives to cushion international shocks to energy markets, including the impact on supply chains from lockdowns and the war in Ukraine. The Green Party is among the parties expected to suffer the heaviest losses in the election, with the report predicting the group will fall from 71 to 61 seats.
The issue of climate change-inspired regulations and green agenda policies promoted by the city of Brussels is also likely to play a key role in the election, with farmers campaigning in large numbers across the continent, including France, Germany, Poland and Romania. Tractor protests are underway.
Meanwhile, the centrist neoliberal parties that currently control parliament, the European People's Party (EPP), the Socialist and Democratic Progressive Union (S&D), and Renu (RE), are also expected to continue losing membership following defeats. ing. His number of seats has declined in the past two elections, and he is expected to go from 420 seats to 390 seats in the upcoming polls.
Therefore, a so-called “super coalition'' of three parties would only have 54% of the seats, compared to the current 60%. Given that the interests represented within the International Centrist Coalition remain diverse, consistently maintaining a majority vote within parliament may prove difficult.
“According to the ECFR, this paradigm shift could have several implications for the EU's political agenda. For example, even if the new composition of the parliament should not initially affect aid to Ukraine; The fact that the centrist Grand Coalition is likely to be less dominant than before could have implications for certain issues such as economic and financial freedom, the environment, or immigration and asylum policy,” says the ECFR. pointed out.
They went on to say that the rise of populist parties is likely to “strengthen” the position of national governments at EU Council level, such as Hungary, Italy, Slovakia, Sweden and possibly the Dutch government led by Geert Wilders. I predicted. their attempts to reduce Brussels' influence over individual member states;
Globalist think tanks warned that their findings should be a “wake-up call” to progressive policymakers across Europe, but the Council of Europe has warned against open borders, environmental policy and funding for the Ukraine war. Instead of heeding the growing voices of opposition to the He argued that all that was needed was to impress on the people that
Illegal immigration in the EU will continue to rise in 2024, becoming a key factor in parliamentary elections: report https://t.co/oFSOY7a3uG
— Breitbart London (@BreitbartLondon) January 19, 2024
