A new national poll shows President Biden with a 6-point lead over former President Donald Trump in a rematch likely in November.
But a Quinnipiac University study released Wednesday found that the president’s advantage over Mr. Trump is shrinking in a multi-candidate general election that also includes independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. It shows.
Opinion polls show Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley leading Biden by 5 points in a hypothetical November showdown, but in a crowded field of candidates, Biden has a 5-point lead over former South Carolina governor and former U.N. It was also revealed that the number of Japanese ambassadors was slightly higher than that of ambassadors.
The survey also shows that Biden and Trump are overwhelming favorites to win the Democratic and Republican presidential nominations.
Haley claims Trump and Biden are ‘grumpy old men’
President Biden speaks at the nation’s first gala held by the South Carolina Democratic Party on Saturday, January 27, 2024, at the State Fairgrounds in Columbia. (AP Photo/Artie Walker Jr.)
Polls conducted between January 25 and 29 show that Biden leads Trump among registered voters nationwide, 50% to 44%, compared to a December Quinnipiac poll that showed Biden leading by just 1 point. However, the gap widened further.
The Quinnipiac poll has Mr. Biden in the lead, but many other polls conducted in January show Mr. Trump with an advantage. And Real Clear Politics compiled the latest national poll of the Biden-Trump rematch, showing the former president with a 2.5-point lead over the incumbent in the White House. There is.
According to the latest Quinnipiac poll, Mr. Biden holds a 96% to 2% lead among Democrats and a 52% to 40% lead among independents, while Mr. Trump holds a 91% lead among Republicans. % to 7% support.
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The survey also focused on the widening gender gap, with women supporting Biden at 58% to 36%, an increase of 10 points from December, and men supporting Trump at 53%. ~42%, almost unchanged from last month.
“The gender demographics tell a remarkable story,” said Tim Malloy, a Quinnipiac University polling analyst. He has become a great lead.”
Former President Donald Trump speaks with supporters, campaign staff and family during his first night rally in Nashua, New Hampshire, on January 23, 2024. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
However, Biden’s lead will shrink in a potential five-candidate showdown in November.
According to the poll, 39% favored the president, 37% for Trump, 14% for Democratic Party-turned-independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., 3% for progressive independent candidate Cornel West, and 3% for Green Party candidate Jill.・Mr. Stein has 2%.
Haley has repeatedly asserted during her campaign that she would be a stronger Republican presidential candidate than Trump to face Biden in the general election, and this poll could give Haley further momentum. Become.
Opinion polls show that Biden has a 47% to 42% lead over him in the expected November showdown.
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However, the approval ratings for the five candidates are 36% for Biden, 29% for Haley, 21% for Kennedy, 3% for West, and 2% for Stein.
Mr. Trump, the leading Republican candidate seeking a third consecutive White House bid, is running in this month’s Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary, the first two races on the Republican presidential nominating calendar. They won by a double-digit margin.
Nikki Haley speaks after primary election results come in at a watch party in Concord, New Hampshire on January 23, 2024. (Joseph Prezioso/AFP via Getty Images)
Haley faces a steep road to winning the nomination as the Republican Party’s next major race is held in her home state on February 24th.
Polls show that Trump leads Haley 77% to 21% among Republicans and Republican-leaning voters nationwide.
In the Democratic presidential primary, the president has a 78% approval rating, author Marianne Williamson has 11%, and Minnesota Representative Dean Phillips has 6%.
of Quinnipiac poll We polled 1,650 self-identified registered voters nationwide, and the overall sampling error was plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.
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