By the time you read this, you’ll have analyzed every conceivable angle of betting on the 2024 Super Bowl.
You’ve read all the matchup analysis, listened to all the podcasts, and bet big on Sunday’s game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers.
But there’s probably one approach you haven’t considered yet. There’s one strategy that hasn’t crossed your mind.
It has nothing to do with matchups, defensive schemes, or target shares, but everything to do with the human spirit.
In my experience working in the betting industry, I have found that there is always one perspective that is never covered when it comes to big game betting.
It feels like it’s taboo to discuss it on pregame shows, podcasts, or game previews.
Probably no one makes the boldest predictions when it comes to the Super Bowl, neither the analysts on CBS’s pregame show nor the people at your local Super Bowl party.
The match would be a complete failure. A waste of time. Snoozer.
Soccer fans look forward to this night all year long. They spend over 20 Sundays on a product that, frankly, is pretty tough to watch these days.
It’s a lot of effort to work through an NFL season, but the reward is a better Super Bowl. No one wants the last round of football until September to be bittersweet.
And the truth is, NFL fans have been spoiled in recent years. The past two Super Bowls were decided by a total of six points.
When these teams met in Super Bowl LIV, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs scored 21 points in the fourth quarter, coming back from a 10-point deficit to win 31-20.
And you don’t have to go back too far to remember the Philly Special and the Falcons blowing a 28-3 lead.
Heck, there’s still time for New England to beat the Rams 13-3 in Super Bowl LIII. It was certainly a depressing game, but it was unexpectedly close.
However, these classics are mixed with some bad ones.
The Buccaneers led 21-6 over the Chiefs at halftime and extended that lead to 31-9 in Super Bowl LV.
It was an ugly game that ended long before a scoreless fourth quarter began.
Perhaps the most infamous and bad Super Bowl was Seattle’s 43-8 victory over Denver in 2014 at MetLife Stadium. These things happen.
However, there are ways to stay invested even if the game stinks. And the best part is that the dividends can be quite high.
Few, if any, people want to bet that the Super Bowl will be a bad game, so the odds are always ripe.
Bookmakers have to be on their toes for the big games, with money constantly flowing into the incredible amount of props they offer for Sunday’s contests, but that doesn’t mean most bettors will go to the window. I’m pretty sure it’s not. I’m betting on an explosion.
So let’s discuss it from several angles.
Ready to start betting on the 2024 Super Bowl?
Maybe it’s too big right now for Brock Purdy and the 49ers to fight. he makes mistakes. Hey, we had a few weird bounces against the Lions.
If they had broken some of Detroit’s ways two weeks ago, we could have seen them beat San Francisco by three or four points.
Is it really out of the question that the Chiefs won’t come out hot and put the Niners back in the game? Kansas City -23.5 is offered at 17/1 on FanDuel.
Or maybe Purdy goes out and the 49ers defense does what the Bucs did a few years ago and puts Mahomes in the blender.
It’s 20-1 on FanDuel for the Niners to win by 28 points, or 35-1 on DraftKings for the Niners to win by 25-30 points.
It doesn’t matter whether you choose these bets or ignore this column completely.
It’s important to remember that one of the best ways to find value in these “everyone watches and bets” games is to think about the outcome that no one wants to see. .
And bet on it.
