Post Sports Gambling Editor/Producer Eric Richter is in his first season of Bettor’s Guide.
San Francisco 49ers (-2) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City can’t keep up with San Francisco’s playmakers.
The Chiefs wouldn’t be here if it weren’t for Baltimore’s bone-jarring turnovers by their young playmakers and leaning Lamar Jackson.
Don’t expect that kind of help from Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, or Brandon Aiyuk.
Let’s throw away the advanced stats that favor the 49ers and go from unit to unit. With the exception of the quarterback and secondary, every other unit favors the 49ers.
Running backs, offensive and defensive linemen, and linebackers will all be graded out to the 49ers.
They were either the best or second-best team all year.
Don’t be fooled by Mahomes’ magic into an underdog bet where they are supposed to be a 4.5-point “underdog.”
49ers – Chiefs Under 47.5
He has hit in 11 of his last 19 games under the Super Bowl, including four of his last five.
We all know that prime-time games also went under at a staggering 74.36 percent rate through November of the regular season (the most available data).
I have a whole theory that this is caused by too many commercials ruining the flow of the game, but I’ll save that for another time.
Do you want to bet on the NFL?
For now, focus on the team. The under team is 12-5 in Chiefs games this season, including five of the last six.
The 49ers were 8-under through 17 games, but that gamble actually leads to a decline in the Chiefs’ offense.
I saw Kansas City go into a punt fest in the second half of the game against Baltimore. Expect more of the same with the 49ers flying around against the Chiefs.
Championship week: 1-1. 49ers vs. Lions (W), Chiefs vs. Ravens (L).
season: 19-21-2.
