Democrat Tom Suozzi narrowly leads Republican Maji Pilip in a poll released Monday night, hours before a special election to replace ousted Long Island Rep. George Santos. ing.
A new poll obtained exclusively by the newspaper shows that Suozzi leads New York’s 3rd Congressional District race with 46% support, compared to Pilip’s 45% approval rating, by just 1 percentage point. Was.
9% of respondents have not yet decided whether to participate in this fierce competition.
The poll, conducted by polling firm JL Partners among 500 likely voters, had a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points, indicating a heated race ahead of Tuesday’s election.
The company asked voters who have already voted or are likely to vote in the 3rd Congressional District, which covers Nassau County and parts of northern Queens.
With undecided voters excluded, the race is evenly divided between the two candidates.
“This race is too close to call,” JLP co-founder James Johnson told the Post. “It all depends on who votes on Election Day.”
“If Republicans can get the votes together, the race will become truly competitive,” he added. “But the weather and the closeness of the race make this race very unpredictable.”
JL Partners’ investigation also provides a glimpse into why Mr. Suozzi, who served as New York’s 3rd district congressman from 2017 to 2023, distanced himself from President Biden during his campaign.
Opinion polls show Biden with a narrow one-point lead among voters in Queens and Nassau County in the general election showdown over former President Donald Trump and third-party candidates.
Mr. Biden, 81, defeated Mr. Trump in this district by 10 points in 2020, and Mr. Suozzi beat Mr. Santos by more than 12 points the same year during the disgraced former lawmaker’s first run for Congress.
The poll showed Biden’s approval rating at 45% and Trump’s approval rating at 44%.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 8% support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein had 3% of likely voters support her candidacy.
“One thing is clear: Compared to Biden’s 10-point victory in 2020, NY-03 could now become a typical battleground district,” Johnson said. I described the survey results.
The late-winter storm, which is expected to dump up to 8 inches of snow on the region on Tuesday, has drawn thousands more Democrats than Republicans to vote in early voting in the close race. Suozzi may be saved at the polls.
in CNN interview On the show, which aired on Monday, Mr. Suozzi claimed that the people of New York’s Third Ward were “sick of the whole George Santos thing,” calling it “yesterday’s news” and at the same time saying that Mr. Pilip He compared it to a former congressman who was indicted.
“This is Santos 2.0,” Suozzi said of Pilip. “She doesn’t have a particular position on an issue. She doesn’t meet with the public. She doesn’t take questions from the public. It’s the same thing,” the former Nassau County executive added.
Pilip, who was born in Ethiopia and later immigrated to Israel and served as a paratrooper in the Israel Defense Forces, has made the immigration crisis a focus of his campaign and criticized Suozzi for not addressing border security while he was a member of the House of Representatives. . .
“The solution is that we need to plan properly.” [for] “How are we going to bring people into this country legally, just like when we came to this country, like when my husband came to this country?” Pilip told the media.
“My husband is a cardiologist. I’ve built myself up, you know, I’m running for Congress. This country gives me that opportunity, but I have to get on the right path. No,” she added. “It’s not right the way things are going right now.”
