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China Would Have Unacceptable Leverage over U.S. If It Takes Taiwan

Recent study The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank, has warned that Beijing’s takeover of democratic Taiwan would have major economic and security implications for the United States.

“If war broke out in Taiwan, it would almost certainly cause a global economic depression,” said study author and researcher at the Heritage Foundation’s Center for Asian Studies. michael cunninghamhe said at a research presentation event on Thursday.

Taiwan is the world’s leading producer of semiconductors, producing 92% of the world’s most advanced chips, and if China were to take over Taiwan, it would control the world’s semiconductor supply and have an “unacceptable” impact on the United States. The research report states that Said.

“Essentially, if something were to happen, like a Taiwan Strait emergency or war, manufacturing would be shut down,” he said.

He said Taiwan is essentially at the “center” of the world’s manufacturing economy, producing essential parts for electronics, heavy infrastructure and aerospace systems.

“These are not things that will be replaced overnight,” he said. “Even if by some miracle we were able to move all semiconductor manufacturing to the United States and something happened to Taiwan, we would end up with American chips and nothing would put them on it,” he said. said.

Cunningham also said that if China were to take control of Taiwan, Taiwan’s strategic location would likely lead to a direct war between the United States and China.

Related: Never again…Chinese navy ships harass US destroyer during Taiwan Strait exercises

US Navy / Local News X /TMX

“Taiwan occupies an important node in the First Island Chain, a chain of islands between Japan and maritime Southeast Asia,” he said. “If China were to occupy Taiwan and gain control of the island and surrounding waterways, it would be able to break through the first island chain and make a strategic breakthrough into the Pacific Ocean.”

He said China has made it clear that it wants regional dominance, and to do that it needs to drive U.S. forces out of the region.

“With Taiwan, we could start pursuing that goal in earnest,” he said. “The continued presence of U.S. forces in the Indo-Pacific would be extremely risky, extremely costly, and extremely difficult. [we have] There are also many military assets there, as well as very important military bases. ”

Jeff Smith, director of the Heritage Foundation’s Center for Asian Studies, also pointed out that the United States has treaty obligations to allies in the region, such as Japan and the Philippines.

Cunningham said that if China were to take control of Taiwan, the United States’ ability to protect its allies Japan and the Philippines would be “severely weakened,” adding that Japan called China’s occupation of Taiwan an “emergency” for Japan. He pointed out that the situation would be considered an “emergency” for Japan-U.S. relations. Alliance.

Given that, he said, “It’s very difficult to imagine that the United States will ever be able to remain neutral, even if the president at the time was adamant about remaining neutral.” Ta.

Cunningham said the best course of action for the United States is to strengthen deterrence against China’s invasion of Taiwan and maintain the status quo of Taiwan’s de facto sovereignty. (The current situation is that although China considers Taiwan to be its territory, it has not attempted to “unify” Taiwan militarily, and Taiwan, which it considers to be a de facto sovereign country, has officially declared independence. ).

Heritage Foundation President Kevin Roberts also spoke briefly at the event, reminiscing about his recent visit to Taiwan and speaking about Taiwan’s importance to the United States.

“In the history of this great country, America, the world’s greatest enemy has been the Chinese Communist Party,” he said.

“As bad as the Soviet Union was as Nazi Germany, as much as we hated Britain in the 1770s and 1780s, the Chinese Communist Party is the greatest threat ever to this country and its people’s liberation. .Country.Taiwan serves as a reminder of what is at stake if something were to happen,” he added.

Read the full study here.

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