An internal poll shows Nevada Republican Sen. Sam Brown leading by more than 50 points in the Republican primary, and if former President Donald Trump endorses him, he would gain an additional 16 points.
Mr. Brown has an approval rating of 58%, according to polling notes from the Talance Group obtained exclusively by Breitbart News. The now-retired Army captain had a 52-point lead over his closest rival, former Nevada Congressman Jim Merchant (R), who received just 6% of the vote. Ta.
Jeff Gunter, the former U.S. ambassador to Iceland, who appears to have been a registered Democrat in California until at least last summer, tied with Tony Grady, a retired Air Force lieutenant colonel, at 3% of respondents and 7% of respondents. % said they would vote for another candidate or would not vote for either candidate. ”, and more than one in five people are undecided.
Talance Group Nevada Senate Voting Memo by Breitbart News On Scribd
Mr. Brown’s approval rating rose further, reaching 74% when voters were asked who they would support if Mr. Brown was endorsed by President Trump, who has an overwhelming influence in the Republican primary.
“Much of this activity will likely come from those who are currently undecided and waiting to see if President Trump will endorse a candidate in this race,” the memo said.
Gunter, who ran this month, was registered as a California Democrat as of at least August 9, 2023, according to Los Angeles County Registrar records obtained and reviewed by Breitbart News.
A source close to the Trump campaign told Breitbart News that Gunter is “a California liberal who lies about being a MAGA.”
“He donated to Never Trump candidates, did not vote for President Trump in 2020, and will be an unmitigated disaster in the general election. Who knows Mr. Gunter is a fraud and a loser?” We all know,” the source added.
In a statement to Breitbart News, a Republican strategist working on the Senate campaign likened Gunter’s support to that of former Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R-Arkansas), the worst-performing Republican presidential candidate this term.
“Jeff Gunter’s poll numbers are at Asa Hutchinson’s level because voters know him as a Democrat who most recently lived in California,” the strategist said.
Brown far exceeds his rivals in both name recognition and favorability. He has a favorability rating of 77 percent for Brown, but only 8 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him and only 9 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.
Merchant has the second-best record in the division, with a record of 41 wins and 11 losses, earning him a rating of 30 points above water. But he is not as well-known as Mr. Brown, as nearly three in 10 voters have never heard of him. Mr. Gunter and Mr. Grady are far behind in favorability, and as of this writing, the June 11 Republican primary is just two months away. Sixty-nine percent of respondents have never heard of Grady, and 67 percent don’t know about Gunter.
Additionally, Marchant’s support for Brown was far greater than Gunter’s in second-choice voting, with 30% of Brown voters choosing the former state representative as their second choice versus switching to Gunter. Only 4% of them were.
The poll sampled 500 likely Republican primary voters from April 7th to 10th. The margin of error (MOE) was plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
Last month’s Emerson College/KLAS-TV/The Hill poll Indicated Brown is said to be highly competitive with Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) in a hypothetical general election showdown. She ranks two points ahead of Brown at 41 percent to 39 percent. Conversely, a hypothetical pairing with Rosen would give Merchant a double-digit lead and Gunther a nine-point lead.
The poll was conducted March 12-15 among 1,000 registered voters. MOE was ±3 percent.
