According to the latest polls, former President Trump is leading President Biden in a hypothetical head-to-head contest in five of the six key battleground states.
of New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer PollThe poll, conducted from April 28 to May 9, found Pennsylvania (47 to 44 percent), Arizona (49 to 42 percent), Michigan (49 to 42 percent), and Georgia (49 to 39 percent). ), showing Trump leading Biden among registered voters in Nevada. (50 to 38 percent).
Among registered voters, assuming a head-to-head contest between the two major party candidates, Biden leads in one state, Wisconsin (47% to 45%), according to the poll.
The results are similar between likely voters, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania saw the difference between the candidates move by only 1 to 2 percentage points. However, Biden’s performance in Michigan improved by 5 points among likely voters, leading him in the state (47% to 46%) over Trump. In Wisconsin, Mr. Biden has lost his lead over Mr. Trump, where Mr. Trump leads Mr. Biden among likely voters (47% to 46%).
The results are similar when third-party and independent candidates are included in the poll. Trump leads Biden in Arizona (42% to 33% to 10%, respectively), Georgia (39% to 31% to 9%) and Michigan (38% to 36% to 9%) – F. Kennedy Jr. maintained third place. percent), Nevada (41 percent vs. 27 percent vs. 12 percent), and Pennsylvania (40 percent vs. 36 percent vs. 10 percent).
Trump and Biden are tied with 38% of registered voters in Wisconsin, while Kennedy has 9% support.
No other third-party or independent candidate ever receives more than 2% of the vote in any matchup, according to pollsters.
The poll results haven’t changed much since then. The last Times/Siena College poll was conducted. In October 2023, Mr. Trump similarly led Mr. Biden in all five states except Wisconsin, where Biden had the most support.
The Biden campaign has stepped up its outreach to voters in recent months, even as President Trump faces mounting legal battles and is sometimes stuck in court.
The new poll included 4,097 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. When states are combined, the margin of error is 1.8 percentage points. The margin of error for each state ranged from 3.6 percentage points in Pennsylvania to 4.6 percentage points in Georgia.
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