A new poll suggests that former President Trump’s conviction in the hush money case could alienate him from some independent voters.
POLITICO/IPSOS vote The survey found that 21% of independents said they would be less likely to vote for Trump after he was convicted, adding that a conviction in Trump’s hush-money case was very important to their vote in November, while 5% of independents said the verdict was an important factor and that a conviction would make them more likely to support Trump.
Only a small number of Republicans surveyed said they would be less likely to support a former president after he was convicted.
Forty-one percent of Republicans said a conviction would not affect their support for Trump and would not matter to how they vote, while 28% of Republicans said they were more likely to support Trump and that a conviction would not matter to how they vote.
Republicans are less likely to support Trump, with just 7% saying a conviction would be important to their vote.
After hearing testimony from star witnesses over a period of weeks, a New York jury last month found Trump guilty on all 34 counts of making false business statements, a charge the former president has repeatedly denounced and called politically motivated.
His sentencing is scheduled for July 11, just four days before the Republican National Committee’s convention, where he is likely to be formally nominated as the GOP’s presidential candidate.
In the new survey, Republicans are more likely to say the hush money trial was unfair: 67% of Republicans said the verdict was not the “result of a fair and impartial judicial process,” while 27% of independents and 5% of Democrats said the same.
The poll found that 63% of Republicans said President Biden had a direct hand in the Manhattan district attorney’s decision to sue Trump in New York state, while 23% of independents said the same.
In late May, President Biden denounced Trump’s baseless claims about a biased justice system as “reckless” and “dangerous.”
The new poll was conducted June 7-9 among 1,027 U.S. residents and has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.
