Vice President Kamala Harris has a slim lead over former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical general election, according to a new poll conducted after President Joe Biden dropped out of the 2024 presidential race.
A new New York Times/Siena College poll finds Trump leading Harris by just one percentage point among likely voters, 48% to 47%, and Trump leading Harris by 2 percentage points among registered voters.
The new poll, compared to a New York Times poll from July when Trump had a six-point lead over Biden, reveals that the race has tightened since Democrats switched nominees.
Has the battlefield changed with Harris at the top?
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during an event with NCAA college athletes on the South Lawn of the White House, Monday, July 22, 2024, in Washington. (Susan Walsh)
A New York Times poll just three weeks ago showed Republican candidate Harris holding a 10-point lead over Trump among voters under 45, a key demographic where Trump had previously held a lead.
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The survey found that about 79% of Democratic or Democratic-leaning voters want Harris to become the party’s nominee after Biden drops out of the race, and 27% think Democrats should have a competitive process to select a new nominee.

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump watches day four of the Republican National Convention (RNC) at Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Reuters/Andrew Kelly)
About 87% of respondents said they somewhat or strongly support Biden’s decision to withdraw from the election, and 45% of respondents said they disapproved of the job Biden is currently doing as president.
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The New York Times/Siene University poll was conducted July 22-24 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.





