Former President Donald Trump has an advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris in the battleground states of Arizona and Georgia, according to an NPR/Marist poll released Thursday.
In a public opinion poll that included lean supporters, find Of the 1,246 likely voters, 50% support Trump and 49% support Harris. 1 percent support another candidate. Among likely voters in the Grand Canyon State, Trump's lead is within a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
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The two have evenly matched records in Maricopa County. 4th largest The county includes Phoenix and the surrounding cities of Mesa, Tempe, Scottsdale, and Chandler. Harris won 51% and Trump 49%.
Mr. Trump holds a 23-point lead among white working-class voters. White voters without a college degree support Mr. Trump 61% to 38%. However, among white college-educated voters, Harris leads with 63%, slightly more than Trump's 35%.
investigation show Among Georgia voters and likely voters, she holds an even lead over Harris, 50% to 49%. 1% support a third-party candidate, and 1% are undecided. Harris leads among independents, 51% to 46%, but among white working-class voters, Trump leads by a 50-point margin, 75% to 25%.
In Arizona, Ms. Harris has an advantage among white college graduates, but in Georgia, Mr. Trump leads this demographic 50% to 49%.
The poll samples 1,220 likely voters in the Peach State and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.
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NPR and Marist too. with gauge An investigation into the state of the North Carolina election revealed that out of 1,348 potential voters, the candidates were tied at 49 percent. White working-class voters again support Mr. Trump by a wide margin, although only 48% of independents vote. Among white voters without a college education, Harris led by 71% to 28%.
Most white college-educated voters (59%) support Ms. Harris, while 40% support Mr. Trump.
North Carolina's margin of error is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points, and samples in all three states were collected between September 19 and 24.
These three battleground states will be key to determining the outcome of the presidential election. Arizona and Georgia were chosen by the Electoral College winner in each of the past two elections, by Trump in 2016 and by President Joe Biden in 2020.
In theory, if Trump were to win all the expected red states, including Georgia and Arizona, he would have won 246 electoral votes. That's before considering the swing states of North Carolina, Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, which could contribute to the 270 electoral votes.
