Former President Donald Trump promised at rallies across the country to enact mass deportations of illegal immigrants, a promise he made during his first term but never fully realized.
The latest Fox News poll released Thursday found that two-thirds of voters support such policies, exactly the same as last December and 15% since the question was first asked in 2015. Points are increasing. Nearly one-third oppose mass deportations.
Since 2015, support for deporting people in the United States illegally has increased overall, most notably among nonwhite voters (+24 points), Republicans (+21 points), and rural voters (+21 points). +20 points) and urban voters (+19 points). ), male (+16). Democrats are also now more likely to support it, but by a smaller margin of 8 points.
At the same time, support for allowing undocumented immigrants with jobs to remain in the country and apply for legal status is declining. 58% of voters support allowing people with jobs to remain in the country, down 4 points from last year and 10 points from 2015.
Support for allowing people with jobs to stay and apply for legal status has declined across most demographics, but the drop is driven by Republicans, compared to a decade ago. This is a decrease of 28 points. The Democratic Party is the opposite. They are likely to favor staying by four points.
Fox News poll: Trump leads Harris by 2 points nationally
Immigration is one of the three main issues this election cycle, along with abortion and the economy (top issues). A new Fox News poll agrees, with 40% citing the economy as No. 1, followed by immigration at 17% and abortion at 15%. No other stocks reach double digits.
When asked to name the single most important issue or factor motivating them to vote, Trump supporters cited immigration (17%) and the economy (18%) as their top motivators. For Vice President Harris' supporters, disgust with President Trump (17%), followed by abortion and protecting democracy (14% each), were the main motivations for voting. Only 1% of Harris supporters cited immigration.
Trump is seen as doing better on immigration, by a 15-point margin, up from a 10-point margin in September. This advantage is not new, as the former president has consistently defeated Harris and Biden on this issue.
Fox News poll: Harris and Trump in close race in North Carolina
Still, one reason the presidential race is so close is that approximately one in ten voters (9%) support Harris, saying that immigration is a top priority. The same goes for one in 10 voters (13%) who think Trump could do a better job on immigration.
Overall, among both registered voters and potential voters, Trump has a two-point lead over Harris in the presidential race (50% to 48%), within the margin of error.
From the southern border to international war…
— Voters are increasingly likely to think the U.S. should ease up on wars with Ukraine and Russia. 40% think U.S. aid should be reduced, up 5 points from May and 14 points from 2022. Roughly a quarter think the U.S. should do more, and a third think aid is about adequate.
–Opinions are divided on U.S. support for Israel, with 32% saying it's too supportive, 29% saying it's not enough, and 35% saying it's about right. This relates to the situation in May, when the question was last asked, but from November 2023 onwards, the number of people who say they don’t fully support it will increase (from 21% to 29%), and the number of people who say they are right will decrease. (45% to 35%). .
— Voters say Trump can handle the Middle East war well by 13 points (55% for Trump to 42% for Harris). This is a further increase from the 7 point difference in September.
The Fox News survey, conducted October 11-14, 2024 and directed by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), included a random sample of voter files from across the country. Includes interviews with a sample of 1,110 registered voters. Respondents either spoke live with an interviewer via landline (129) and mobile phone (719) or completed the survey online after receiving a text message (262). Results based on both the full registered voter sample and a subsample of 870 likely voters have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. The sampling error associated with the results between subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can also affect results. Typically, weights are applied to age, race, education, and region variables to ensure that respondent demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight goals include American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data. Likelihood to vote is based on a probabilistic statistical model that depends on past voting history, current election interest, age, education, race, ethnicity, church attendance, marital status, and more.
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