CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said Republican candidate Donald Trump is “more popular now” than he was during the 2016 and 2020 elections.
According to Enten, President Trump's current online favorability rating is -9 points, which is higher than his 2016 online favorability rating of -27 points and 2020's -12 points. The reporter added that the former president's favorability rating is at an all-time high as Vice President Kamala Harris' momentum stalls.
“Here's the deal: If you believe that Donald Trump's popularity has somehow declined over time, let me change your mind. In fact, at this point in the campaign, it's clear that Donald Trump's popularity has somehow declined over time. “He's more popular than he was at this point in the 2019 campaign,” Enten said. “Look, he's still under the surface with a net likeability of -9 points. But that's higher than his -12 points in 2020, when he almost won, and his net likeability in 2016, when he almost won. 27. So I think there's a real question in the minds of Kamala Harris and her campaign as to why Trump is more popular than he was in 2020 or 2016. ”
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According to Enten, Harris' approval rating has increased significantly since she announced her candidacy for president on July 21st, from -15 points on July 17th to -15 points on August 17th. It jumped to 4 points. After that, her rating dropped from +1 point in September to -1 point as of October 17th. (Related: CNN's Harry Enten says Trump could be in a 'very strong position' in Wisconsin)
“Kamala Harris, of course, rose in popularity once she was identified as the Democratic nominee,” Enten said. “Look, she was down by -15 points.” [on] It was actually in positive territory a month ago, with -4 points on July 17th and +1 point on August 17th. However, she returned to -1. I think Kamala Harris' momentum has stalled and they feel like they have to change what's going on in their campaign. Because they were on the rise and now they're stalling. ”
“Look, she's still more popular than Trump, but look, Joe Biden is more popular than Trump, much more popular, barely won, and Hillary Clinton is much more popular than Donald Trump. She was popular, but she lost. Being more popular than Trump isn't enough, she has to keep seeing her popularity rise, but it's actually going in the wrong direction. “I am,” Enten continued.
Former president currently leads in every key battleground state with less than 20 days until election, Real Clear voting average Found on Friday. Harris holds a 0.8 point lead in Wisconsin, Georgia, Michigan, Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Nevada.
MSNBC's Steve Kornacki noted Monday that Harris' positive ratings have fallen from 48% in September to 43% in October, while her negative ratings have increased from 45% to 49%. In September, he had a 5-point lead over Trump, but by October it was deadlocked, 48% to 48%.
The vice president's polling average in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin is up 1 point over Trump, significantly lower than President Joe Biden's 8-point lead before the election, Enten noted on Monday. did. Biden only narrowly won these states, indicating that Harris' one-point lead may not be enough to capture them.
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