How many voters have cast ballots in 2024 election?

Early in-person and mail-in ballots have begun pouring in across the country, and state counts show growing voter enthusiasm.

Recent polls suggest the race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is close, with results in seven battleground states: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada. It is expected that the performance of each candidate will depend on the performance of each candidate. and North Carolina.

States have long allowed at least some Americans, such as military personnel or people who are too sick to go to the polls, to vote early. Many states expanded eligibility in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic.

In the last presidential election, mail-in voting tended to lean toward Democrats. One survey found that 60% of Democrats reported voting by mail in 2020, compared to 32% of Republicans. 2021 survey From the MIT Election Data and Science Institute.

As of Monday night, more than 15 million votes had been cast nationwide.

Here's a breakdown of where early voting was done by mail or in person in seven battleground states, according to the Associated Press.

Arizona – 499,683

Georgia – 1,425,113

Michigan – 1,027,133

North Carolina – 1,031,212

Nevada – 181,015

Pennsylvania – 921,720

Wisconsin – 305,344

Over the past two decades, the prevalence of early voting has skyrocketed. And while early voting is an indication of voter enthusiasm, fewer voters are expected to vote early than in previous presidential elections, making it difficult to determine which candidate wins the race. I can't.

Election workers oversee early voting at a polling place in Marietta, Georgia, on October 15, 2024. (Reuters/Jayla Whitfield Anderson)

In 2020, FOX News Voter Analysis It found that 71% of voters voted before Election Day, with 30% voting early in-person and 41% voting by mail. This time, about 4 in 10 voters will arrive at their polling place by Nov. 5, according to a Gallup poll.

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There is expected to be less division between Democrats and Republicans regarding early voting this year. Four years ago, Democrats won by 11 points in early voting. But two things have changed. First, with the COVID-19 pandemic no longer a top priority, many voters will likely be more willing to go to the polls on Election Day. Second, unlike in 2020, Trump and the Republican Party are no longer trying to dissuade voters from voting early. Once the votes are counted, the partisan gap should become even smaller.

Sample ballots and voting signs are displayed during the first day of in-person early voting in Virginia at the Longbridge Park Aquatics and Fitness Center on September 20, 2024 in Arlington, Virginia. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Some states also provide a breakdown of early voting, including party affiliation, race, and age. Comparing these results to other elections may give the impression that one candidate or party is performing better than the other.

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And while early voting data shows some voters' party registration, it doesn't reveal how they voted. States do not announce their actual vote counts until election night. Voting data currently released by some states shows the party affiliation of voters who requested or returned their ballots. But it's not the same as an actual vote. For example, a voter may have been registered as a Democrat decades ago but chose to vote for Trump this year. And many voters are not registered with either party, making voting even more mysterious.