Will Kamala Harris' campaign ultimately fall victim to the gender gap?
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution's latest survey of races in Georgia suggests just that, with Democrats failing to connect with men and losing 16 electoral votes in key Southern battleground states. They are at a disadvantage when it comes to winning votes.
Of the 1,000 likely voters surveyed by the Survey Research Center at the University of Georgia's School of Public and International Affairs, support is most starkly divided among men.
They're moving on to Donald Trump and trying to get as far away from the vice president as possible.
While only 28% of men support Harris' campaign, a whopping 59% support Trump, a metric that contributes significantly to the former president's 47% to 43% overall lead.
Among men, only 29% approve of Harris' job, 59% disapprove, and assuming there were phone booths in the Peach State, “Harris supporters” would hold meetings in phone booths. This further strengthens the impression that this is possible.
Of course, the gender gap exists in both directions, but it's even narrower for women. Harris leads among her gender, 55% to 37%, which is significant but only reduces the overall margin.
Trump is leading in all age groups except those 30 to 44, with Harris leading by 10 points. The gap is 8 points for those aged 18-29 and 10 points for those aged 45-64. A modest 2 with the elderly.
The AJC poll also found near-supermajority support among white voters, with 66% backing Harris compared to 28% backing her.
This offsets Harris' relatively low approval ratings among black voters in this survey. Harris leads black voters 74% to 8%, with 18% undecided.
But as a measure of how dynamic the race is, and how unsuccessful Ms. Harris has been in clinching a deal with Democratic central districts, the poll also found that more voters than a September survey by the same pollster found of black voters are undecided.
At the time, Harris was up 77% to 11%, with 12% undecided.
Speaking of Democrats, polls show some uncertainty about whether Harris will vote for her party. Trump's approval rating is less than a percentage point and Harris' approval rating is 88%, especially considering that 95% of Republicans support Trump, 1% support Harris, and only 2% are undecided. 11% of undecided Democrats should sound the alarm.
The poll also found that Republican vice presidential candidate J.D. Vance has higher approval ratings in the state, at least compared to Democrat Tim Walz. The Ohio senator's approval rating is 41%, and his disapproval rating is 39%. Minnesota's governor has a favorable rating of 38% and an unfavorable rating of 40%.
Overall, President Trump has a winning vibe, with 41% saying he is likely to win in November, compared to 41% who think Harris will walk away. was 39%.
