Veteran pollster J. Ann Selzer said after a pre-election poll in Iowa inaccurately showed Vice President Kamala Harris ahead of President-elect Donald Trump, who won easily. announced that the polls for the election had ended and that they would be moving on to “other business”. 2016 and 2020.
“More than a year ago, I notified the Registrar that I would not renew my 2024 contract once it expires in the latest election poll as I move on to other businesses and opportunities,” Selzer wrote in an op-ed on Sunday. Explained. des moines register.
“Would I have wanted to make this announcement after the final polls with Election Day results? Absolutely. It's ironic that it's quite the opposite. I'm proud of the work I've done for the Register and the Detroit Free Press.” “The Indianapolis Star, Bloomberg News, and other public and private organizations interested in elections have been great clients and have been happy with my work,” she continued.
a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll On November 2nd, it was announced that Harris leads Trump 47% to 44% in Iowa. This was a 7-point change from September's Iowa poll, which showed Trump with a 4-point lead over Harris.
'Enjoy your retirement': Veteran pollster mocks after Harris' prediction in Iowa was 'shockingly wrong'
Pollster J. Ann Selzer announced that she is ending her election polling career following President-elect Donald Trump's victory. (Screenshot from Bulwark podcast via Getty Images/YouTube)
Trump won the state by wide margins in the past two elections, defeating Hillary Clinton by 9.4 percentage points in 2016 and Joe Biden by 8.2 percentage points in 2020.
“I can’t say anyone saw this coming,” Selzer told the Des Moines Register at the time Harris took the lead. “She has clearly risen to a leading position.”
The pollster acknowledged in a Nov. 17 op-ed that the results were indeed “shocking,” but that “the results looked good” and that the poll's more than 30-year history of accuracy He acknowledged that he may have “made the position of the outliers too comfortable.”
“Polling is a science of estimation, and science has a way of humbling scientists on a regular basis. So I'm humble, but always willing to learn from unexpected discoveries.” she wrote, thanking her friends and family for supporting her through critical questions. her “honesty”.
Trump's victory prediction has a bad reputation in the liberal media, saying it's 'like I'm going to puke'
A farmer shows his support for Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump and his views on abortion on August 10, 2024, near Hawkeye, Iowa. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Selzer's poll sparked a media firestorm in the final stages of the 2024 election. Critics on MSNBC, CNN and ABC's “The View” all hailed the forecast as a sign of widespread support for Harris in the Midwestern states.
“If this is accurate, and if anyone is accurate, the Iowa polls show it's likely to be Ann Selzer. If this is accurate, Harris could win Iowa. ,” exclaimed MSNBC host Rachel Maddow.
Trump defeated Harris by more than 14 points, winning Iowa for the third time this election.
In the editorial of des moines register Days after the election, Selzer said his team was reviewing the data and responded to questions about whether the data had been “manipulated” to show Harris had a false lead. I confessed.
She suggested that her polling may have actually driven voters to support Trump.
A voting volunteer disinfects a polling place at a polling place for the 2020 presidential election in Ankeny, Iowa, U.S., Tuesday, November 3, 2020. American voters, at least those who haven't yet, go to the polls. On Tuesday, people will choose between President Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Joe Biden to vote in the U.S. House of Representatives, state and local elections. Photographer: Rachel Mumy/Bloomberg via Getty Images
“In response to criticism that I had 'manipulated' the data, or that I was being paid (perhaps by anonymous sources on the Democratic side), or that I was engaging in psychological operations or some form of voter suppression, I have The media said the findings of this last poll could actually energize and energize Republican voters who thought they would probably win by inertia. ” she said in an op-ed published Nov. 7.
Social media commentators picked up on the post-election polls and used them to mock her.
'It was a shocking mistake' journalist and broadcaster Piers Morgan Posted in X. Trump just crushed Kamala in Iowa. Ms. Selzer's poll results were faithful to the Bible. ”
“Selzer is a disgrace” Washington Free Beacon reporter Joe Simonson Posted in X.
Fox News' Brian Flood and Lindsay Kornick contributed to this article.
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