J. Ann Selzer withdraws from the polls weeks after her outlier poll showed President-elect Donald Trump with a 3-point lead over Kamala Harris in Iowa announced.
In preparation for election day, des moines register public opinion poll carried out The book, written by Ann Selzer, shows that even though Trump won the state handily in both 2016 and 2020, he still leads Kamala Harris by 3 points, leading the entire political world. It caused a violent earthquake. Given Selzer's reputation for being the “gold standard” in political polling, experts and various commentators say the poll is fundamentally different from other polls showing President Trump in the lead. Despite the divergence, we considered this a potentially ominous sign for President Trump's electoral prospects and adjusted our models and forecasts as a result. In Iowa, he was up to eight points behind Harris.
When election day came, Trump not only won the state, but defeated Harris by 13 points, shattering Selzer's long-held reputation.
In the editorial of des moines register released Selzer said Sunday that she plans to hang up her voting hat, which she has been planning for more than a year.
“More than a year ago, I notified the Registrar that I would not renew my contract when it expires in 2024 at the latest election audit as I move on to other businesses and opportunities,” she wrote.
“Would we have wanted to make this announcement after the final vote with Election Day results? Of course. It's ironic that it's quite the opposite.” I am proud of the work I have done for the Star, Bloomberg News, and other public and private organizations interested in elections. They have been great clients and have been happy with my work.” she added.
Selzer said he thought “the polls looked good” after more than 30 years of polling. earned Nate Silver's analysis of polling organizations' accuracy performance gives them an A+ rating.
“My integrity means a lot to me. For those who have questioned this, there is no dissuasion. For those who know me well, I am a friend, co-worker, customer… “I am grateful for the messages and calls of support that remind me that it is my commitment to truth and accuracy, both in my professional and personal relationships, that has drawn me to it,” she concluded. .
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