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Democrats’ pessimism about party’s future is highest in 8 years: poll

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A new poll shows that Democrats are pessimistic about their party's prospects following Republican President-elect Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election.

Democrats' pessimism about their party's future is at its highest in eight years, according to a new Pew Research Center poll. Republicans, on the other hand, are on a roll, offering their most optimistic outlook for the party since Trump's last presidential victory in 2016.

For the first time since 2016, 50% to 43% of Americans say the Republican Party, rather than the Democratic Party, represents the interests of “people like them” very or somewhat well.

Trump defeated Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 election, winning every battleground state by a landslide, winning 312 electoral votes to his 226. Republicans also managed to flip the Senate majority, maintain a majority in the House of Representatives, and secure a favorable 6-3 conservative majority on the Supreme Court, ensuring complete control of the federal government.

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President-elect Trump waves to supporters at the Palm Beach Convention Center on November 6 in West Palm Beach, Florida. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

Without a supermajority in the Senate to block the filibuster, Republicans don't have much more to ask for in terms of power to enact their agenda at the federal level. So, understandably, Democrats aren't excited about their party.

A majority (51%) of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say they remain optimistic about the party's future. But 49% are pessimistic, a 20-point increase over the sentiment Democrats felt after the mixed results of the 2022 midterm elections, according to the Pew Research Center. The number of pessimistic Democrats has also increased by about 10 points since Hillary Clinton lost to Trump in 2016.

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Vice President Kamala Harris gives a concession speech for the 2024 presidential election on the Howard University campus in Washington, DC, on November 6th. (AP Photo/Stephanie Scarborough)

People under age 50 and people who lean more to the left than conservative or moderate Democrats tended to be more pessimistic.

But Republicans are far more optimistic about their party now (86%) than after the 2022 midterm elections (65%) or President Trump's victory in 2016 (79%).

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Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris holds election night event at Howard University

Chairs and trash sit in a vacant lot after Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris' election night watch party at Howard University on November 6 in Washington, DC. (Kent Nishimura/Getty Images)

The Pew Research Center noted that the partisan gap in views about the future of the Republican and Democratic parties was 35 percentage points, the largest in recent elections.

Moreover, more Americans now say the Republican Party represents their interests best than say the Democratic Party best represents their interests. About half of Americans say the Republican Party best represents “people like us,” compared to 43% who think the same about Democrats. This is a change from recent years, when the Democratic Party was thought to be more representative of “people like us.”

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This swing in opinion is almost entirely between Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, with 85% saying the Republican Party represents them well or somewhat well. . This is an increase of 14 points from the Pew Research Center's previous survey conducted in June 2023.

Most Democrats (72%) still say their party represents them at least somewhat well. Minorities on both sides say their respective parties do not represent their interests well.

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