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‘Thursday Night Football’ picks, best bets

Another prime-time battle will take place in the AFC West on Thursday Night Football as the Denver Broncos travel to Los Angeles to take on the Chargers.

Justin Herbert has been battered in recent weeks, but he was not listed as injured for this game, while Denver was able to score a defensive touchdown in their win over the Colts.

In fact, the Broncos have scored three defensive touchdowns over the past two weeks, and given that Herbert has only thrown two interceptions all season, there should be a slight setback on that front.

This game should be very entertaining as it features the Broncos' fourth-rated defense in terms of DVOA (Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average).

The Chargers feature the ninth-rated defense, according to DVOA.

Broncos vs Chargers odds

team spread money line total
broncos +2.5 (-105) +120 41.5 or higher (-110)
charger -2.5 (-115) -145 Less than 41.5 (-110)
Odds provider: BetMGM Sportsbook

Broncos vs. Chargers predictions

Denver nearly lost to the Jameis Winston Browns at home in Week 13, and despite playing 50-50 against the Colts last week, they pulled away in the fourth quarter.

The real matchup here is a sideline chess match: Sean Payton vs. Jim Harbaugh.


Justin Herbert only threw two interceptions in 2024. USA TODAY Sports (via Reuters Con)

These two teams probably boast the best managers in the league.

Denver's offense has been surprisingly good this season, ranking in the top 10 in points per game.


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Still, the Broncos' underlying stats suggest it's based on good turnover dispersion more than anything else.

The Broncos rank 24th in the league in yards per play (5.1) and face a strong defense with an impressive pass rush that could challenge one of the league's best offensive lines. There is.


Bo Nix is ​​a candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Bo Nix is ​​a candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year. USA TODAY Sports (via Reuters Con)

When it comes to betting, I'm looking to target 41.5 and under in a chess match with a predicted hard-hitting quarterback on a short week.

Pick: Under 41.5 (-110, FanDuel)


Why trust New York Post Betting?

Erich Richter is a blue belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu but has a black belt in mixed martial arts gambling. During football season, he proved to be a huge moneymaker for the Post in the player prop market the past two seasons. Always betting on the long shot, the return on investment from 2022 onwards is 30.15%.

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