Remember that team that almost lost to a 5-11 Saints team that started a third-string quarterback?
They're back in action on “Sunday Night Football” to conclude Wild Card Sunday, and the Buccaneers are favored once again, this time against the Washington Commanders.
Washington improved throughout the season, finishing the season as the 10th-ranked team in defensive adjusted value average (DVOA).
The Buccaneers performed as an average team for most of the season.
Tampa Bay finished the season as the No. 11 team in DVOA with a 14-16 record from Weeks 7 to Week 16, while the Commanders moved up to No. 7 over the same period but were rated No. 14. It happened only once.
Washington has proven to be the better team all season, and nothing should go any different this weekend.
Commanders vs. Buccaneers odds
| team | spread | money line | total |
|---|---|---|---|
| commander | +3 (-110) | +125 | 50.5 or higher (-110) |
| buccaneers | -3 (-110) | -150 | Less than 50.5 (-110) |
Commanders vs. Buccaneers Prediction
As my favorite bet of the weekend, Washington should be in the voting position to win this game thanks to their pass defense.
The Commanders have the fifth-best pass defense in the NFL in yards per attempt (since Week 10) and have completed just 58 percent of their attempts, the highest in the NFL during that span. There is.
There are reasons to be concerned about betting on a rookie quarterback in Tampa Bay. The rookie quarterback is just 5-17 straight in road playoff games.
However, I don't view the 24-year-old Daniels in the same light as most rookie quarterbacks.
He led the Commanders all season as one of the best scrambling quarterbacks in the NFL.
Tampa Bay has a below-average defense that allows the quarterback to accumulate rushing yards.
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In important games, Washington hopes to put the ball in the hands of its star players and emerge victorious.
Daniels ran 16 times for 88 yards in his NFL debut against the Buccaneers (a 37-20 loss).
Pick: Commanders Moneyline (+125, Fanatics) | Daniels Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-130, BetMGM)
Why trust New York Post Betting?
Erich Richter is a blue belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu but has a black belt in mixed martial arts gambling. During football season, he proved to be a huge moneymaker for the Post in the player prop market the past two seasons. Always betting on the long shot, the return on investment from 2022 onwards is 30.15%.
