In the fourth quarter, economic growth has been reduced to an annual rate of 2.3 % of the expected 2.6 %, as the economy is heading to uncertainties.
According to the data announced on Thursday, the growth of gross domestic production (GDP) has slowed down from 3.1 % in the third quarter and 3.1 %, 3 % in the second quarter.
The actual GDP increased at 2.8 % of the year, exceeding the non -expanded growth rate.
Economist said in 2024 that it was excellent in light of the recession that many people expected, but expected to grow more slowly in the future.
“It is expected that the economy will be gently alleviated at the 2 % trend pace in the future,” said the Ey Economist's Gregory Dako in the analysis and called the fourth quarter of numbers “robust”. Masu.
Although the overall economic situation is solid, the signal refers to different directions and indicates the uncertainty that has deteriorated due to political factors.
Inflation has risen in recent months, and the federal preparation system has slowed its interest rate reduction. This week was stable within 4.25-4.5 %.
FRB Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that the central bank was playing things with his ears.
“We are not on the course set in advance,” he said, and the Bank's Fee Settlement Committee added, “We evaluate the balance of incoming call data, evolution, and risk.”
Many economists are concerned about the immigration policy of the Trump administration, which can affect the labor market, and the impact of the proposed tariffs on the consumer goods and the supply chain.
Some economists have seen Trump's tariff threats appear in the GDP number.
“The purchase of cars and other durable goods that are likely to be motivated by Trump's fear of tariffs accounted for 35 % of the fourth quarter GDP growth,” said Economist Dean Baker. 。
Imports rose rapidly in December, and some West Coast Port processed the record volume prior to the next administration.
According to the Census Bureau, imports were $ 289.6 billion in December and more than the import in November. The US trade deficit was recorded at $ 122.1 billion for $ 122.1 billion in December, increasing $ 18.6 billion in November.
