The summit meeting between President Donald Trump and President Vladimir Putin has announced a ceasefire in the Ukrainian War. Later phoneNow it's a question of where (probably Moscow) and when (quickly).
While there already appears to be a convenient overlap between the US and Russia positions at some important points, none of them falls into Ukrainian preferences.
First, two superpowers agree Regarding the urgent need for a ceasefire, it means that Russia is likely to hold 20% of Ukrainian territory it currently occupying. At this point, there is no US pressure to grant Russia its territory.
Secondly, the US and Russia agree to Ukraine You will not be a member of NATO Or perhaps the European Union has struggled desperately to achieve for a long time.
“Unrealistic“Secretary of Defense Pete Hegses snaps, that's it.
It was Putin's maniacal fear of Ukrainian membership in NATO that promoted the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 three years ago.
In this evolving scenario, Ukraine is no longer offered a realistic alternative, becoming a “neutral” state and leaning towards loose relations with Russia.
Trump has shown mostly sympathy for Ukraine's geographical nightmare and lives alongside his aggressive Russian neighbours. What's more, his cool attitude towards Ukraine fits comfortably into Putin's overall strategy.
Here, President Putin has long considered essential to Russia's national interests and is likely to find Trump completely satisfying to negotiate superpowers over the future of eastern and central Europe. The door will open. He longs for a meeting to catch a brief headline with the Russian leader, and considers him to be a “friend.”
The US was more enthusiastic than it is now to significantly reduce its multi-million dollar aid program to Ukraine and replace more deal arrangements: Ukraine They will pay for American aideven if it's lucky enough to get it, with its own valuable mineral resources.
At the summit, Putin anticipates revitalization of the Yalta-style negotiations in World War II, where Russia's strong strategic stance can challenge the strength along the western border of Russia. I'm doing it. Ukraine will be removed as a possible threat to Russia's security to alleviate Putin's concerns.
In addition to helping to end the Ukrainian war, Trump will also derive satisfaction from resuming a lapsed East-West Conference on limiting the proliferation of nuclear weapons.DenuclearizationSuper Power.” It is unknown what Trump has in mind exactly, but this is an issue he discussed in the presidential election. Trump also raised the issue with China's Xi Jinping in order to try to broaden the circle of negotiations to include China.
Ukraine will not play a role in this negotiation between Russia and the US. Despite countless assurances from the Ukrainian regime and its Western European allies, Ukraine will be ruled out in the cold that negotiations about Ukraine's future would not occur without the existence of Ukraine.
Not only will Ukraine be left behind in the cold, but it will also exclude American Western European allies. Trump wants to ride the summit as the sole cowboy and advance his own interests as a peaceman. He labelled “this ridiculous war.”
Trump frequently spoke of his sharp disapproval of the war, I'm saying “Every day people are dying. Young and handsome soldiers are being killed. Young men like my son. Both sides. The whole battlefield. Enough.”
The summit between Trump and Putin that leads to a ceasefire will have the immediate effect of ending the war on Ukraine. Many in the world support this outcome.
But at the end of the war there is a big price. Ukraine was essentially abandoned and left in a diplomatic ditch, pointing its tattered, bloody fingers at the United States, screaming “betrayal.” The relationship between American Western Europe and NATO has been shattered, and the American language as a trusted friend and ally is soon considered a disappointing reminder of an earlier era of American history.
Trump has promised change and is happening all over the world now.
Marvin Kalb, a professor emeritus at Harvard University and former network correspondent, “Another Russia: Krushchev and Kennedy on the collision course.”
