Worms are beginning to turn on President Trump.
Despite his dishonest blat, Trump never gained particularly strong support from American voters.
He praises himself for winning popularity votes frequently, but Trump's victory was thin by historical standards. Less than 50% of voters His margin for Vice President Harris was less than 1.5 percent points, but a vote for him.
Only nine presidential elections in our history have won with fewer margins. The 19 presidential elections received a true landslide victory of over 10 points. Trump's advantages weren't close.
And he's not particularly popular yet. Averaging Gallup data, returning to President Eisenhower, the president received approval from 60% of Americans in February. Trump's February Approval Evaluation – 45% – The lowest on record except for his rating in February of his first term.
More importantly, the president's approval rating will deteriorate. A few days after his inauguration, the number of people who approved his performance was 8.5 points higher than those who disapproved; Aggregation of RealClearPolitics of all votes. By Monday, the benefits had reduced to just one point.
538.com, another aggregator using a slightly different methodology, I posted almost the same number – A approval margin of 8.2 points shortly after Trump took office, down to 7/10 points on Monday.
Without a doubt, two things are true at the same time. The narrow multiple approves Trump's performance. However, the multiples are shrinking as fewer voters have approved and more disapproved.
The President's recognition rating is important as it is one of the most important weapons he exercises in political combat. The president's political power is directly proportional to his recognition assessment. Members of Congress fear that the president will cross the president with the 70% approval and fear seen with a 30% approval rating.
Trump's power is so popular with Republicans that it doesn't diminish as his numbers drop as Republican legislators don't worry about the general election, and for a number of reasons, don't worry about the primary against Republicans.
Why is the number of cards falling?
A few reasons.
First, his persona has returned to the daily exhibit. Since he appeared on the presidential stage, voters have been turned off by his attitude. Recently, his attitude makes big negative news almost every day.
A YouGov poll in February showed 45% personally disliked Trump, compared to just 37% who liked him. Among political independences, 50% disliked him, while only 30% preferred the president.
Second, one of the most powerful findings in public opinion research is that Americans generally prefer to cut government spending, but are determinedly opposed to reductions in most specific areas. Republicans have moved from GOP to certain ones to help the GOP help with massive cuts and fund more tax credits for the wealthiest Americans.
(Of course, cuts in healthcare, education and other programs don't fully fund tax credits. Republicans claim they are deficit Hawks, but they voted to increase the deficit to fully fund the tax credits.)
We've seen this film before, and it's a Republican in deep political trouble.
According to AP/NORC Votingtwo-thirds of Americans say it's too little for education, healthcare and social security. As Republicans move to cut back on these programs significantly, the ratings of Trump and Congressional Republicans will get worse, with Democrats holding back pressure and focus clearer.
Third, Trump ignores the priorities of its citizens.
According to a CNN poll, only 40% believe Trump has the right priorities, while 52% believe he doesn't pay sufficient attention to the country's most important issues. At 45% to 39%, Americans say Trump's policies are not the right one, but rather move the country in the wrong direction.
Voters are sticking to rising costs, confirming that Trump's policies will not lower prices and will not lower prices. Ipsos discovered 70% of Americanswhich includes most Republicans, says tariffs lead to higher prices.
Only 37% of Americans accept Trump's rationale that “even if prices rise due to tariffs, it's still worth getting what we want as a country.” Only 32% believe that tariffs will lead to more American jobs.
Let's be clear. For most voters, Donald Trump is far from a dangerous monster Democrat. However, if he does not change his course, his downward trajectory will continue to deteriorate along with his image and his party image.
Melman is the president of Melman Group's political consulting company. Melman has been a pollist for the Senate Democratic leader for more than 20 years. He is also the Democratic majority president of Israel.
