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Subs: Kinsky, Udogie, Van de Ven, Gray, Bergvall, Maddison, Tel, Son, Scarlett.
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Bournemouth (probable 4-2-3-1) Arrizabalaga; Cook, Hill, Huijsen, Kerkez; Christie, Adams; Semenyo, Kluivert, Tavernier; Evanilson.
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Subs: Dennis, Soler, Akinmboni, Scott, Brooks, Ouattara, Sinisterra, Silcott-Duberry, Jebbison.
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Referee John Brooks.
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Andoni Iraola makes only minor changes to the team that lost at Brighton. Evanilson, who returned to the starting line-up in the cup last weekend, replaces Ouattara, while Marcus Tavernier comes in for David Brooks.
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Several changes for Spurs after their fruitless trip to the Netherlands. Dominic Solanke is fit to start, so Tel drops to the bench, where he’s joined by Son and Maddison. The best news for the long-suffering Spurs fan is that Cristian Romero is back from three months in the treatment room.
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Afternoon everyone and welcome to a game that should be good to watch. Yes, it’s mid-table, but with Liverpool proving that you do sometimes walk alone and the three promoted clubs heading straight back down again, the middle is where the intrigue is.
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You never know what you’re going to get from Ange Postecoglou’s Spurs – slick football or slapstick. Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth seem far more settled and sorted, but after a fine season they have begun to falter. Their results over the past six league games are just as Spursy as Spurs’: won three, lost three.
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On even more recent form, Spurs have the edge. Their three wins have all come in the four games since the beginning of February, whereas Bournemouth have three defeats in their last four. During this time, strange as it may sound, Spurs have had the joint-best defence in the Premier League: they’ve conceded only two goals in four games, the same as their old friends Arsenal. But then they did manage to lose at AZ Alkmaar on Thursday. And their home form in the league has been dismal for months, with just one win in nine, while Bournemouth tend to be stronger on the road.
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When the two teams met in December, Bournemouth won 1-0, thanks to a header by Dean Huijsen. But the scoreline flattered Spurs. On expected goals, according to fbref, it should have been 3-1 or 4-1 (3.5-0.9).
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Bournemouth’s blip has taken them down to ninth in the table, but the battle for the Europa League places – now, deliciously, involving Man City – is so tight that a victory today would lift them to sixth. Spurs are 13th and will stay there even if they win, as they’re five points adrift of Brentford.
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This is the Dominic Solanke derby, although the man himself may not appear. He came on as a sub in Alkmaar, only to go off again after a knock that drew a vivid description from Ange: “Obviously it’s a knee going into the backside, so it’s sore.” The irony is that Solanke is one of the few Spurs players who haven’t spent the season looking as if they need a kick up the arse.
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Important Events
18 minutes On the other end, Bournemouth wins a free kick with a curve of D. As the ball is bove afterwards, Evanilson sticks out his foot and produces a nice flick from 15 yards. If Vicario could let it go through his hands, we would have a goal to remember.
17 minutes Spurs' Best Move has been around and it's Romero who will wrap it in the sparks with a thin vertical pass. The polo roaming freely on the right side will crucify, but Bournemouth is clear.
14 minutes Brendan Johnson is approaching to escape to the right, but Dean Huysen is dealing with him very calmly. At 19 years old, he has an old head above his young shoulders.
13 minutes Bournemouth can't find a way to film, but the Spurs speculate that they're troubled from behind. The main criminal is Christian Romero, who may be rusted and rusty.
9 minutes Good stats from commentators: Bournemouth has these three shots on the target, while completing only nine passes. They can simply flip the ball over for a goal kick and wait for the Spurs to burst. It was like his best Fraser Forster.
7 minutes As if that wasn't a crazy start, we also had yellow cards (Tavernier for a trip in the midfield) and Spurs corner. Can the game be calm?
4 minutes chance! And one more! Again, the Spurs have a hard time playing from behind. Kluivert bounces and pulls another save from Vicario. And there's another save as someone I can't notice follows up with a decent header. It's already three shots of the target.
2 minutes It brings a corner, then another corner, but Bournemouth can't tell them, and the Spurs live to fight another day.
1 minute chance! The Spurs fall apart in the back, leading Evanilson. His shot is directed around the post by Vicario.
The crowd begins as the Spurs march as the team enters the crowd. The sight of the stadium in the noise and sunlight could make you mistake the Spurs for a well-run club.
Another veteran wrote. “I'm currently sitting at Ed after I dislocated my shoulder (it's not fun to play 51 veterinarian soccer),” says Mark Goodchild. “So can these updates be resourceful and fun? It hurts!
“Your exchange for xg,” says Richard Hearst. “It emphasizes the overall meaninglessness. There is no legitimate expectation unless the algorithm/pointed head feeds the difference between Ian Rush and Ronnie Rosenthal, or the difference between Gordon Banks and Gary Sprayki. bah, humbug (and yes, I'm 71 years old. So, by definition, it's a boring old fart).”
Richard, there is no ageism here. I'm old enough to see all the players you mention.
MailBag is prone to swelling. “While I suck up the sun (?) at the cheese stadion,” says Jeremy Boyce. Thank you for the hint. But I am not at Tottenham Stadium and I am not smoking the sun because there is a risk of crushing the illusion. Like many true sports enthusiasts, I spend a lot of time indoors.
In other news, Rohit Sharma is about to win the Champions Trophy herself.
And one more thing! “Save your thoughts,” says Kieran McIntosh.
“He will be in person in the game to see who his true manager of the club, Andoni Iraola, is.
“But an interesting idea. If Bournemouth could hold him, it would be a considerable achievement. Where do you think he'll go?”
Good question… In a wise world, the Spurs will be competing for him with Man United. However, I don't know which owner I can count on.
One brings two. “I love analysis,” says Joe Pearson. They say there's something, but it's coming. “But as a math nerd (retired actuary), let me politely suggest that it's not how XG works. If you look at the XG map in Opta, for example, you'll measure each trial individually. Five attempts at 0.2 xg does not suggest that the team should have scored a goal. So it's not right to equal 3.5 xg to 3 or 4 goals. Sorry to be a pedant, but I'm a Guardian reader, so what do you expect?”
Ha. What I'm hoping for is that “expected goals” means the number of goals that were reasonably expected.
Email! “Bissouma, Bentancur and Sarr start midway,” says Yash Gupta. “So Ange is saving Bergvall, Maddison and Son for a match against Az Alkmaar. If Ange loses today, some might say they'll hire another guy for that game, and those people may have points.”
It's harsh but fair. It appears Ange is about to win this game with his submarine, but Iraola is about to win it before they come.
The team is perfect
spur (Highly likely 4-3-3) Vicario; Polo, Romero, Danso, Spence. Sarr, Bissouma, Bentancur; Johnson, Solanke, O'Dobert.
Submarines: Kinski, Udogie, Van de Ben, Gray, Bergval, Madison, Tell, son, Scarlett.
Bournemouth (Highly likely 4-2-3-1) Arrizabalaga; Cook, Hill, Huissen, Kerkez. Christie, Adams; Semenyo, Kluivert, Tavernier; Evanilson.
Submarines: Dennis, Solar, Akinboni, Scott, Brooks, Oattara, Sinisterra, Silcott Dubery, and Javison.
Judgment John Brooks.
A simple team: Bournemouth
Andoni Iraola has only had minor changes to the team that lost to Brighton. Evanilson, who returned to the cup starting lineup last weekend, will replace Outara, with Marcus Tavernier joining David Brooks.
Short Team: Spurs
Spurs' changes after a fruitless trip to the Netherlands. Dominique Solanke deserves to start, so Tel drops on the bench, where his son and Madison join him. The best news for the patient Spurs fans is that Christian Romero has returned to the treatment room since three months.
preamble
Everyone, welcome to the game you should watch this afternoon. Yes, it's a mid table, but the three promoted clubs have returned again, in the middle where the plot is.
You never know what you're trying to get from Ange Postecoglou's Spurs, that is, smooth football and slapstick. Bournemouth at Andoni Iraora appears much more calm and organized, but after a great season they have begun to wobble. The results of the past six league games are as Sparcy as the Spurs.
In even more recent forms, the Spurs have an edge. Their three victories have all come to fruition in four games since the beginning of February, but Bournemouth has three defeats in the final four. During this period, strangely enough, the Spurs have been jointly defending the best in the Premier League. They have only admitted two goals in the same four games as their old friend Arsenal. But then they managed to lose at Az Alkmaar on Thursday. And their home form in the league has been shady for months, with only one win at nine, with Bournemouth tending to be stronger on the road.
When the two teams met in December, Bournemouth won 1-0 thanks to Dean Huyssen's header. However, the scoreline praised the flattery. According to FBREF, the expected target should have been 3-1 or 4-1 (3.5-0.9).
Bournemouth's Blips pulled them down ninth at the table, but the fight for a place in the Europa League – now tasty, including Man City – today's victory lifts them sixth. The Spurs are 13th and will stay there even if they win, as they are Brentford's five-point drift.
This is Dominique Solanke Derby, but the man himself may not appear. He appeared as a sub to Alkmaar, but left again after a knock that portrayed a vivid explanation from Ange. Ironically, Solanke is one of the few Spurs players who have not had a season and doesn't look as if he needs to kick his ass.
