Friday's game features a tougher spread than Mississippi and Baylor.
The Bookies have these two teams one point apart, with the No. 8 Bulldog sitting as the nominal favorite of the Caesars Sportsbook.
In other words, flip the coin.
No. 8 vs. No. 9 matchups are often the most difficult handicap, but we'll do our best to find the bet value in this SEC vs. Big 12 showdown.
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Mississippi and Baylor Bet Preview
I feel like I'm going to split my hair with this matchup. These two teams are not only evaluated within the whisker range of each other by Kenpom and Barttorvik, but also have similar statistical profiles.
Kenpom ranks Baylor as his 16th offense, but Mississippi is there on the 23rd.
In defense, Edge is against the Bulldogs as the 45th best unit in the country, but Baylor is only 12 spots.
Fine margins on both sides of the ball.
Do you bet on college basketball?
Mississippi and Baylor Picks
Perhaps the best way to find value in this game is to be completely against it. Everyone, including Bookie, is hoping this will be a tough contest, and little separates these two aspects.
So all derivative bets and props correlate with this being a close contest, with most money stacking up with that game splic in mind.
Instead of doing that, a wise bettor can oppose the grain by winning defeat in favor of one of these aspects.
Kenpom and Barttorvik's Baylor Power is rated slightly better than Mississippi, so there's a flapping of the Bears to cover an alternative spread of -9.5 with +297 odds on the Caesars Sportsbook.
choose: Baylor-9.5 +297 (Caesar)
Do you think Mississippi is the target team? Go ahead and fade this pick. Bet at least $1 using the code Post NewSBG1. If you win the bet, you will be rewarded with a bonus bet of $150.
Why trust New York Post Beds?
Michael Lubov is a patient and abundant islander fan, but is a long-time for-profit sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters acquire a pool of brackets, find long shots, and learn how to win the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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