Democrats announced their first major posthumous death in Monday's 2024 election after a week-long media blitz cataloged the wrong ones. The findings may paint more random pictures than the election results themselves.
Worse, the party's response, or lack of it, reveals a state of denial. Despite clear warning signs, Democrats have shown no serious effort to address their issues. Instead, the party's most well-known voices continue to stick to the same failed strategy, even as their own data analysts and some sympathetic columnists are stoking more and more urgent warnings that Doom is on them.
The loudest voice remains much more progressive. Rather than trying to expand their support, they continue to appeal to their small base.
investigationinterviewed 8 million people during 2024, according to Blue Rose Research. Its leading data scientist, David Shor, was clear about the results. Young voters joined them. And usually, freed voters flocked to Republican tickets.
It shifted support for GOP among black voters, and was even more keen among Hispanic voters and naturalized immigrants, forcing long-term calculations with Democratic leaders in major cities. These voting patterns highlight how many of these cities are not governed.
They also overturned the central beliefs of both parties. The more people vote, the better Democrats do. That belief is no longer preserved.
Democrats tried to explain some of the shifts by suggesting that their base was simply sitting on the couch. But that's not what happened. Ethnic moderates, young voters, and many politically liberated Americans have been actively broken into the party.
The shawl argues that case
everyone The outcome would have been even worse for Democrats as they were voting in 2024. His analysis shows that the party would have lost the popular vote at a wider margin.
You may have heard rumors before the election. Democrats quietly reduced some outreach efforts after realising they were registering Trump voters. Panic set when internal data showed a tendency to work against them.
“If only those who voted in 2022 were found out, Harris would have won both the popularity vote and the voting college fairly easily,” David Scholl told Ezra Klein in an interview with the New York Times. “But if everyone had voted, Trump would have won the popularity vote with nearly five points.”
If Democrats have a strategy to counter this politically existential tendency, they don't share it. From Team Blue, all I see is redder meat.
Consider this week's headline. Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) on Sunday.
I said it on MSNBC“I think it's a punch. I think you're a punch. …It's Ted Cruz! I mean, this guy has to be knocked over his head, stiff, right?
In the same interview, Crockett admitted that there are no currently pending laws, adding, “I'm not going to lie.”
Sen. Bernie Sanders, an 84-year-old progressive from Vermont, left the set of ABC interviews that aired over the weekend after facing routine questions about Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (DN.Y.).
The interviewer asked if Ocasio-Cortez might challenge Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer (NY) in the Democratic primary. Sanders refused to answer and ended the interview.
Questions continued at a Friday rally when Sanders and AOC appeared together. The crowd repeatedly chanted the main challenge, with some of the Ocasio-Cortez allies reportedly discussing ideas behind closed doors.
In Monday's edition of “Morning Joe,” the country's Ellie Mistal said the US should.”
Eliminate all voter registration laws“We call it a postwar tactic designed to curb black votes.
These are recent examples. Will anyone of them help Democrats solve their massive predicament? The short answer is no. Certainly, they excite a completely depressed base, but who else is Democrats and their media allies talking? The real problem remains unacceptable. Democrats and their media allies continue to speak to the same reduced audience, losing ground with everyone else.
“It's not just that New York Times readers are more liberal than the overall population. That's definitely true,” Scholl told Klein last week. “They're more liberal than they were four years ago. Despite the country's reversal, there's this huge political difference between those who consume all the news sources we know and read and those who don't.”
The obvious solution to the party's dilemma is to increase voter shrinking share. Some Democrats, such as California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Pennsylvania Sen. John Fetterman, seem to focus on doing just that. Still, Newsom's record as a solid progressive cannot be reversed with some mild-sounding podcast appearances.
Others like Schumer are more interested in short-term political survival than long-term strategies.
But the loudest voice is much more progressive. Rather than trying to expand their support, they continue to appeal to their small base. It may provide short-term energy, but it does not build enduring political momentum.
New York Times:Democrats need to face the reason Trump won
Vox: This is why Kamala Harris really lost
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