People should calm down about the Senate parliamentarian.

Senate Reactions to Parliamentarian’s Latest Decision

There’s a noticeable tension among Senators regarding a recent decision from the Senate Parliamentarian about what can be included in a significant settlement package. Calls of frustration echo: “Shoot her!” “Ignore her!” “The bill’s doomed!” If, in fact, crucial Medicaid reforms fell through, it could lead to real problems for critics. But, here’s the thing—nothing is set in stone just yet.

Senator Elizabeth McDonough holds an advisory role rather than a constitutional one. The Senate generally respects her rulings as both parties depend on her support for rules like the Filibuster when they find themselves in the minority.

It’s a complicated and slow-moving process, yet achievable, especially with the White House’s goal of a July 4th deadline looming.

However, respect for McDonough’s decisions isn’t absolute. Leaders from both parties have brushed aside her input before. Ultimately, the Senate’s rules are for the Senate. She can make controversial calls, but her position has long been recognized as one that could swing either way.

A prime example? McDonough blocked President Joe Biden’s push for a $15 federal minimum wage as part of the American Rescue Plan Act, stating that the budgetary effects were “merely contingent.”

Plainly put, it’s up to the Senator and his committee to prove that their budget’s impact isn’t just “contingent” (and certainly doesn’t touch on Social Security). They’ll need to secure 51 votes rather than the usual threshold of 60.

Her latest decision doesn’t completely shut down certain provisions, like increased pension contributions for new federal employees or state immigration laws. They serve more as hints, saying, “Revise what you’ve done and come back to us.” Think of them as warnings rather than outright failures.

McDonough raised concerns regarding language about whether undocumented immigrants could tap into Medicaid funds. Some Democrats contest this idea, arguing it hasn’t happened—so essentially, they’re not barred from it. Regardless, staffers will have to refine their language and bolster their arguments moving forward.

This whole undertaking is taxing and lengthy, but it’s doable, especially with the impending July 4th deadline. Senate Majority Leader John Tune plans to keep the chamber in action until everything is finalized. Veteran senators are optimistic they could wrap things up by Friday night and cast their votes soon after.

It’s clear—this bill, also referred to as Trump’s grand vision, has lost some of its shine since it was introduced. But, Republicans are eager to score some points. Once the bill makes its way through the Senate, there’ll be plenty of opportunity for negotiations or approvals that may complicate matters between both chambers. Republicans are cautious about entering negotiations where Democrats hold greater leverage. They recognize this as a significant battle, and they need their resources and allies.