A comparison of polls taken before and after President Biden decided not to seek reelection shows that, with one notable exception, up-and-coming Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign is gaining momentum.
Harris, who could become the first Black woman and first South Asian president, lost support to Biden among Black voters, according to recent analyses.
A closer look at the cross-tabulations, or categorized responses, in the New York Times/Siena poll reveals: July 2 and July 24thBiden received five points more support among black voters than former President Trump.
A July 2nd survey found Biden had 56% support among black voters compared to Trump’s 13%, a 43-point difference.
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Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump. (Getty Images)
But in the latest poll in which Harris was chosen to replace Biden as the Democratic nominee, she garnered the support of 65% of black respondents to Trump’s 17% — a difference of 48 points, or 5 points.
The difference was first highlighted in a larger comparison of the two polls by John Della Volpe, polling director at the Harvard Institute of Politics.
In a graph titled “Harris Sees Dramatic Gains Among Younger Voters, Hispanics and Independents,” MSNBC contributors depicted how Harris saw a 29-point increase in support over Biden among voters ages 18-29.
A Times poll of Hispanic voters gave Harris a 33-point lead, while registered voters overall favored her by 7 points, giving her a 49-49 tie with Trump.
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Democrats and liberal media pundits have dismissed polls showing former President Trump’s popularity among black voters. (Felipe Ramares for Fox News Digital)
But Peter Hasson, editor of the Washington Free Beacon, posted a chart from Della Volpe that also showed Harris losing by 5 points among black voters to Trump, who is often accused by Democrats of being racist or discriminatory against minorities.
In a speech in Philadelphia earlier this month, Harris claimed Trump “stirs up hatred” and “monitors fear,” but Trump has often highlighted relevant parts of his record as president, such as working with Sen. Tim Scott, R-Lausanne, to establish “opportunity zones” in minority communities.
Meanwhile, Trump has been reaching out to the black community during the current campaign, announcing plans to visit Chicago this week to participate in a question-and-answer session with the National Association of Black Journalists.
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He also plans to hold a rally in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, the Keystone State’s capital and majority-black population, his first event in the state since he was nearly assassinated on July 13 about three hours west in Butler.
After a rally near Lansing, Michigan in 2016, Trump drew fierce criticism from the left after he loudly asked black Democratic voters in disadvantaged areas, “What have you got to lose?”
His then-opponent Hillary Clinton called the remarks “so ignorant it’s shocking.”
“If you can’t decide whether you support me or Trump, you’re not black,” Biden famously said on a New York radio show popular among the black community in 2020.
