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Analysts Say Trump’s 50-Year Mortgage Plan Might Not Be a Significant Shift

Analysts Say Trump's 50-Year Mortgage Plan Might Not Be a Significant Shift

The Trump administration’s proposal for 50-year mortgage terms to assist Americans in buying homes might not significantly enhance housing affordability, according to some analysts.

Bill Pulte, the Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), confirmed on X that his agency is exploring this 50-year loan option. This comes after President Trump suggested the idea in a post on Truth Social. However, some economists informed the Daily Caller News Foundation that such extended mortgage terms could lead to problems like escalating home prices.

“Fifty-year mortgages aren’t available in the private sector for a reason,” Jason P. Sorens from the American Institute for Economic Research noted. “They tend to generate minimal equity while accruing a lot of interest, making them unappealing for both buyers and lenders due to heightened risks over such a long term. Introducing 50-year mortgages through subsidies might increase demand without actually making homes more affordable, leading to higher prices.”

Sorens also mentioned that the introduction of these long-term mortgages might increase homeownership rates slightly, but with potential drawbacks. “At best, this could make it easier for some people to buy instead of rent, but it might also drive shifts away from 30-year loans, increasing default risks, which would ultimately affect taxpayers,” he added.

A spokesperson from the FHFA stated they are considering a variety of approaches to counteract the challenges posed to the housing market in recent years.

As of Tuesday, the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage in the U.S. was reported at 6.31%. Additionally, data from the National Association of Realtors indicated that the typical age of first-time homebuyers reached a record 40 in 2025, up from 38 in 2024.

Rising mortgage rates are pushing homebuyers to pay an extra $7,200 every year for financing a $400,000 home, while only 28% of the housing market is seen as affordable for a typical U.S. household, according to Realtor.com.

“Essentially, the 50-year mortgage doesn’t present a sound option. It offers a middle ground between a 30-year loan and an interest-only mortgage,” J.D. Foster, former chief economist at the Office of Management and Budget, explained. “It lowers your payment slightly because you’re paying the principal off a bit slower. However, if more people can afford to buy homes because of this, it could create upward pressure on home prices. How is that supposed to improve affordability?”

“If Trump feels compelled to act and this is all we have, that’s fine, but let’s not kid ourselves into thinking it’s revolutionary,” he added.

Foster also noted that he believes housing has become less affordable for some American families due to rising inflation during Biden’s presidency, which peaked at 9.1% in June 2022.

“Housing is ‘unaffordable’ for many due to the inflation that has significantly affected wage income for low- and medium-earners,” he pointed out. “The answer lies in fostering a robust economy that allows real wages to recover. Make housing attainable for buyers by improving their financial capacity.”

Foster continued, “Moreover, local governments often add to housing costs with regulations intended to help, which can ironically backfire. While each regulation may seem minor, they can add up and turn simple homes into luxury items.”

Many Americans are still coping with soaring rents after the COVID-19 pandemic, with median rents rising roughly 35% since before the pandemic, according to Construction Coverage citing Zillow.

Reportedly, some officials in the White House are frustrated with Pulte for persuading Trump to endorse the 50-year mortgage initiative, catching them off guard according to Politico’s sources.

“He misled POTUS about the implications,” one official said. “He claimed, ‘FDR did it, you can too; it’s going to be huge.’ Yet, he didn’t mention the possible unintended consequences.”

Some congressional Republicans have openly criticized the 50-year mortgage proposal as well. Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie described it on X as “a recipe for default and limits on job or school mobility.” Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene echoed similar sentiments, expressing doubt that it addresses the housing affordability crisis.

In contrast, Pulte insisted that his agency is “focused on ensuring the American Dream for YOUNG PEOPLE,” asserting that a 50-year mortgage could be just one of many solutions currently under consideration.

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