After 103 games, the World Cup final is set to kick off on Sunday at 3 PM at MetLife Stadium, featuring Spain facing Argentina. This marks a historic moment as it will be the first final between a reigning European champion and a South American champion. Over the past five weeks, the tournament has highlighted a mix of celebrations and emotions from various countries.
Spain has had a dominant run, outscoring opponents 13-1 throughout their seven matches, while Argentina has shown resilience, often relying on dramatic finishes to clinch victories against teams like Cape Verde and England, and they endured extra time against Switzerland. Their sense of invincibility, however, remains intact.
When Spain Has the Ball
“We must stay true to our football philosophy,” said coach Luis de la Fuente. This philosophy involves relentless possession, quick passes, and aggressive counter-pressing.
Spain’s midfield, with Rodri and Fabian Ruiz supporting Dani Olmo, has executed this plan impressively, especially in the knockout stage. There are some worries regarding Lamine Yamal’s hamstring, given his earlier injury in the semi-finals. However, Spain’s wide play has been crucial for their scoring and will be essential moving forward.
Argentina has shown vulnerability on the flanks. For example, their right-back, Nahuel Molina, conceded England’s only goal in the semi-final. The partnerships between Spain’s wingers and full-backs will be key in exploiting this weakness. If they can convert opportunities from the wings to the back post, it could turn the tide in their favor.
Defensively, Spain’s midfield and backline have been solid. However, they need to stay alert; Argentina’s physical play could pose challenges. Interestingly, an early yellow card for players like Leandro Paredes might even shift the balance in Spain’s favor.
For Argentina, survival and seizing counter-attack opportunities will be critical.
When Argentina Has the Ball
Breaking Spain’s possession has been a challenge for all, and it’s doubtful Argentina will find an easy route. Still, they have the capability to counter-press effectively.
Argentina has a knack for swift counter-attacks. Their passing strategy seems designed to outmaneuver Spain’s high press, and their collective experience under coach Lionel Scaloni will be crucial during this match. The familiarity among players allows for swift decision-making.
That said, Spain boasts the best defense of the tournament — the lowest expected goals conceded and the fewest shots faced. Centre-backs Pau Kvarši and Aymeric Laporte form a formidable partnership, with Kvarši’s performances so outstanding that some argue he has overshadowed even the younger talents in the squad.
Set-pieces could serve as a critical scoring avenue for Argentina, having already netted multiple goals from corners and free kicks.
And, of course, there’s Messi. His unrivaled skills and ability to sense opportunities create multiple chances for Argentina.
Something Intangible
Kickoff weather is expected to be around 82 degrees, feeling like 85, with sunshine and just average air quality. While Spain has played outdoor matches this tournament, Argentina has had more experience in heat. The question remains: will Argentina’s acclimatization or Spain’s fresher legs prove more advantageous?
The fan presence is anticipated to skew heavily towards the Argentinian supporters, known for their passion and extensive travel. However, the corporate atmosphere typical of finals, along with high ticket prices, might dampen some of the fervor.
Prediction
Spain 2-1 after a penalty shootout.
