Former governor If Mayor Andrew Cuomo were to face off against him in the Democratic primary, he would lead Mayor Eric Adams by a landslide among black voters, according to an independent poll released Wednesday.
The poll, conducted by Bold Decision and obtained by the Post, found that 46% of likely black voters said Cuomo was their first choice, compared to only the second African-American mayor after David. 18% said they would choose Mr. Adams. Dinkins a generation ago.
Mr. Adams faces criminal charges of fraud and bribery, but has been hampered by low approval ratings.
Nearly three-quarters (73%) of Democratic voters have a negative view of the mayor, while only 23% have a favorable view.
Meanwhile, 84% of likely voters rate Adams' job performance as either “poor” (57%) or “fair” (27%), but only 5% say it's “excellent”. , 11% answered “good”.
According to a Bold Decision survey, 57% of likely primary voters say crime in New York City is getting worse, and more specifically, 70% say crime in the subways is getting worse. states that they are doing so.
By comparison, 55% of Democrats have a favorable view of Mr. Cuomo, while 40% have a negative view.
As for mayoral aspirant and former city auditor Scott Stringer, 42% of Democrats gave him a favorable rating, while 21% gave him an unfavorable rating.
Other candidates were known by less than 50% of likely voters, the survey found.
Mr. Cuomo was the first choice with a 33% probability of primary voters, followed by Mr. Adams at 10%, Mr. Stringer at 9%, current Auditor Brad Lander at 7%, and Queens Assemblywoman Jessica Ramos at 6%. House of Representatives member Zoran Mamdani has 5%. , Brooklyn state Sen. Zellner Miley has 3%, former Bronx Borough Councilman Michael Blake has 2%, and investor Whitney Tilson has 1%, according to the poll.
Mr. Cuomo maintains a sizable lead among all major demographic groups: men, women, Latinos, Asians, whites and blacks.
The poll showed that, excluding undecided candidates, Cuomo would ultimately win with 65% of the final tally in ranked-choice voting, and Stringer with 35% in the seventh round.
“While 2021 marked the first time ranked voting was used in the New York City mayoral primary, the 2025 race will look very different,” said Adam Rosenblatt, founding partner and polling expert at Bold Decision. I'm writing.
“Unlike the widely publicized 2021 primary, there is no doubt that Eric Adams will be the focus of the 2025 election,” he said.
“The 2021 primaries showed us that the world can be very different in January than it is in June, but the fundamentals are: who runs, who gets matching funds, and how campaigns work. How it unfolds will still determine the election.”
“If Andrew Cuomo runs for mayor, Adams' path to re-election will become even more complicated,” added Matt Lien, a pollster and co-founder of Bold Decision.
Adams is seeking re-election while battling federal corruption charges.
He denies the charges.
He raised eyebrows on Monday when he skipped a local event planned to commemorate the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday and instead attended President Trump's inauguration.
He also accused Democrats of abandoning him and working-class New Yorkers in an interview with conservative talk host Tucker Carlson.
Cuomo resigned as governor in August 2021 amid threats of impeachment and accusations of sexual misconduct, which he denies.
He is considering a return to City Hall.
The Democratic primary election will be held on June 24th.
The Bold Decision poll of 807 Democratic voters was conducted via text messages and online interviews from January 7th to 13th.
The margin of error is plus or minus 3.45 percentage points.
The pollster said the survey was paid for by an undisclosed client and that they do not endorse or oppose candidates on behalf of any campaign or super pac.
Bold Decision's clients include the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in the last election cycle.
The committee is currently supporting Brooklyn City Councilman Justin Brannan, who is running for comptroller.
Other clients include the California Chapter of the Service Employees International Union and the California Chamber of Commerce.
