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Biden, Trump now tied in Decision Desk HQ aggregate poll

President Biden and former President Trump are now tied, according to the latest polling averages from The Hill/Decision Desk Headquarters (DDHQ) released Wednesday.

Based on an average of 658 polls from DDHQ, the two are likely to meet in 2024, with their odds of winning tied at 45.1%.

By Wednesday, the gap between Trump and Biden was narrowing, with the former president still holding a 0.6 percentage point lead during the day on Tuesday. As of Tuesday evening, Mr. Biden had a 3-point lead over Mr. Trump, according to an Echelon Insights poll.

Other recent polls include a New York Times/Siena College poll with Trump leading by just 1 point, an Activo poll with Trump leading by 6 points, and an Ipsos poll with Biden leading by 4 points. He has a points lead.

In recent days, Biden and Trump have been tied in various polls. Morning Consult polls in early April and mid-March each had approval ratings of 43%, and a Main Street Research poll in March had them tied at 44%.

When independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is included in the poll, the Decision Desk/The Hill polling average gives Trump a 0.5 point lead. The 120 polls included in the average show Trump at 42.1%, Biden at 41.6% and Kennedy at 7%.

The tie between Biden and Trump also comes as the incumbent’s approval rating rose to a five-month high on Monday. Biden’s average approval rating is 41.3 percent, according to The Hill/DDHQ polling average.

Mr. Biden has struggled for months to improve his approval ratings and lead Mr. Trump in opinion polls, especially in battleground states critical to his 2020 victory.

Trump holds a 3.4 percentage point lead over the president in Michigan and a 1 percentage point lead in Wisconsin. Meanwhile, Biden leads Trump by 0.2 percentage points in Pennsylvania.

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