Biden’s quiet comeback may be over 

Immediately after President Biden union status In his March speech, the incumbent president’s poll numbers soared, he appeared poised to revive his campaign and reinvigorate the Democratic Party.

Just two months later, Biden’s quiet resurgence appears to be losing momentum.

through Mid April, Biden’s continued rise has created the illusion that he is finally coming into his own and riding that momentum into the election. But polls released this week paint a bleak picture.

Just a new citizen poll According to a report from CNN, former President Donald Trump leads President Biden by 6 points in a head-to-head race, 49% to 43%. To make matters worse, only a third of voters (34%) approve of Mr. Biden’s handling of the economy, a tried-and-true truth. metric About how Americans vote.

In other words, if consumer sentiment is any indication of Biden’s electoral fortunes, Democrats have reason to worry. In fact, 65 percent of registered voters say the economy is “very important” to them. and, analyse Regardless of how this economic-focused group of voters intends to vote, Biden is expected to lose by more than 30 points, 62% to 30%.

Similarly, at the state level vote Trump is back in the driver’s seat, with the New York City trial showing little impact on Trump’s numbers, according to Fox News. Polls show Trump leading Biden by 1 to 5 points in seven key battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and his path to victory seems closer by the day. It is getting thinner.

Additionally, multiple voters in each state agree that Trump’s “hush money” trial was “appropriate” or fair; fox newsmost voters, especially Republicans, say a guilty verdict would not affect their willingness to vote for Trump and, in many cases, make them more likely to vote for Trump.

These are just two polls, but it’s clear that Trump is back in the lead, even with contempt charges and the threat of prison time. In fact, these polls reveal an alarming trend for the Biden campaign, which certainly felt that the momentum had shifted in its favor after the State of the Union address.

Polls from February to mid-April showed Biden moving in the right direction, although he still lags behind Trump. In fact, there was a time when Mr. Biden was leading Mr. Trump. 18 national polls During.

Moreover, Biden was racking up a string of victories. Improve Economic sentiment was a key indicator on which the administration was desperately trying to advance policy. Additionally, the first news sources surrounding President Trump are: started He spent most of his time in court rather than on the campaign trail, garnering media attention.

While Trump was stuck in court, Biden raised huge donations to close his financial lead over his opponent. The Biden campaign raised more than 2 million yen at the Radio City fundraiser that Biden attended with former Presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. $25 million – Records.

For Republicans, the party’s infighting was and continues to be on full display in the House of Representatives, undermining the credibility of the party as a whole. Wednesday, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) announced She intends to force a vote last week to remove House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana), who relied on Democratic support to pass a series of foreign aid bills. Even worse, scandal During this time, it caused a major scandal that plagued the Republican National Committee, the Republican Party’s largest fundraising arm. dismissal and leadership change.

But despite this momentum, Biden’s rise appears to be stalling.

As I wrote in these pages a month ago, the biggest obstacle to Biden’s reelection is the overall perception that he will negatively impact the economy and people’s personal financial situations. And even as inflation proves stubborn, wars in Europe and the Middle East show no sign of slowing, American college campuses swarm with protests against Israel, and the southern border remains open. Biden has done little to change people’s perceptions.

But Biden’s ratings on all three issues – the economy, foreign policy and immigration – have declined significantly since taking office. According to Harvard/Harris University, as of January 2020, 61% approved of Biden’s economic response, 60% approved of his diplomatic response, and 57% approved of his immigration response.

Today, Biden’s approval rating is below water on all three measures, at 42 percent on the economy, 42 percent on foreign affairs, and 38 percent on immigration, according to the latest Harvard/Harris University poll. poll It was released last week.

Whether it’s because inflation is causing economic pessimism, the still-porous southern border keeps immigration top of mind among voters, or the growing unrest on college campuses, Biden He seems to be jumping from one crisis to the next and appears unable to deal with them effectively. lead the country.

To be clear, this is not to make it seem like the election is favorable to President Trump.Former president faces mounting legal challenges, but Republican primary results show Nikki Haley remains popular 2 digit support Despite retiring from the race.

Similarly, there are legitimate questions about whether progressives, whose anger at Biden over his support for Israel is simmering and threatens to cause chaos at this summer’s Democratic National Convention, will actually withhold their votes in the face of President Trump. .

That said, after a brief period when Biden seemed to finally be back on track, his numbers have fallen again with the rise of Trump, and as November quickly approaches, it’s a sure bet for Democrats. This is a worrying sign.

Douglas E. Schon is a political consultant and founder and partner of Shane Cooperman Research. He served as an advisor to President Clinton and Michael Bloomberg’s 2020 presidential campaign. His new book is “The End of Democracy? Russia and China are rising, and America is retreating. ”