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Bitcoin Price Falls Below 14-Year Support Level for the First Time, Expert Forecasts $50,000 Goal

Historical Trends Since 2017 Indicate Bitcoin Price Drop to $35,000

Bitcoin Price Prediction Faces Downward Shift

Cryptocurrency analyst Fila has forecasted a potential drop in Bitcoin’s price to around $55,000 after it recently broke through a significant 14-year support level. This comes on the heels of Bitcoin falling beneath the key psychological mark of $80,000, leaving major cryptocurrencies at risk of further declines.

In a post shared on X, Fila pointed out that Bitcoin has crossed a support level that has held for more than a decade, remaining intact through previous bear markets. He described the current market activity not merely as a correction or shakeout, but as a capitulation unfolding in real time. His accompanying chart suggests that other major cryptocurrencies could also slide to approximately $55,000, following this breakdown of key support.

On a related note, Fila referenced his previous predictions, claiming that Bitcoin was set to hit a low of $16,000 in 2022 and suggested it could peak in October 2025. He believes that his prediction of a fall to $55,000 is, therefore, quite plausible, urging market participants to prepare for this outcome.

In a different post, analyst Fira observed that Bitcoin’s price movement resembles its trends from 2021, displaying a double top pattern along with lower highs and lower lows. He mentioned that though there was a rally back in 2021 that felt like a turnaround, it didn’t actually signify a trough. He noted that those who purchased BTC before that rally ended up facing losses in the subsequent decline.

Similarly, Bitcoin prices seem to be experiencing another rally, with many in the market believing that the low observed in February 2026 at $60,000 marks the bottom. While there’s a sentiment that the worst may be over, Fira cautioned that a dip to $50,000 is still on the table, as his analysis continues to hold up.

Key Levels to Monitor

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez indicated that the crucial level to watch for Bitcoin price right now is $77,800. This corresponds with a clearly defined channel that has formed on lower timeframes, with BTC recently testing the upper bound of this structure near $77,800.

Martinez speculated that if this level can hold as support, it could enable Bitcoin’s price to rise towards $79,000. However, if Bitcoin fails to surpass this level, a healthy pullback might occur within the channel to gather liquidity. He pinpointed $76,900 as the midrange to monitor, with the channel’s bottom sitting at $76,000 for a potential retreat.

As of now, Bitcoin’s price has seen a decline over the last 24 hours, trading around $77,500 according to data from CoinMarketCap.

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