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Cardano Price Forecast: Expert Suggests Whale Purchases and ETF Excitement May Indicate a Bottom

Cardano Price Forecast: Expert Suggests Whale Purchases and ETF Excitement May Indicate a Bottom

Cardano (ADA) Faces Continued Selling Pressure

Cardano (ADA) is experiencing significant selling pressure, with prices hovering around $0.15 as of July 2026. This has left many long-term holders feeling quite disheartened. One crypto analyst mentioned that he hadn’t anticipated ADA dipping to such levels, especially after it once soared above $3. However, he contends that the current market situation is more about a general slowdown in cryptocurrency than a failure specific to Cardano.

The analyst observes that since 2025, the cryptocurrency cycle has shifted in ways that have caught many off guard. While overall sentiment appears weak, he is optimistic that Cardano may be entering a period of accumulation rather than seeing its potential diminish.

Cardano (ADA) Approaches Significant Support Levels

The analyst has pointed out that ADA is now trading around 90% lower than its all-time high, which reflects historical lows typically seen in past bear markets. The $0.14 threshold is particularly crucial, as buyers managed to uphold this level during the selloff in June.

He hasn’t dismissed the chance of further dips below this support level, suggesting that investors ought to brace for various outcomes instead of acting on impulse. Historically, extreme fear in the markets has often paved the way for long-term buying opportunities.

Whale Accumulation Indicates Potential Confidence

Another promising sign, according to the analyst, is the ongoing accumulation by larger investors, or “whales.”

  • Currently, wallets holding over 1 million ADA account for 67.5% of the circulating supply.
  • Wallets that hold between 10 million and 100 million ADA have increased their share during the decline in June.
  • Whale holdings have surged to their highest since February 2023, even as smaller investors continue to liquidate assets.

This behavior mirrors trends seen in previous crypto cycles, where major investors strategically acquired more assets while retail sentiment remained predominantly negative.

Institutional Interest and Upcoming Developments

In addition to whale movements, there is a growing interest from institutional investors. Following the introduction of CME Cardano futures in February 2026, the market is currently focused on the potential review of a Spot ADA ETF, with October 2026 being a pivotal decision period.

There are three notable developments that could bolster the Cardano ecosystem:

  • Leios Scaling Upgrade: Aiming to enhance transaction capacity and tackle network speed issues.
  • Extending RealFi: Focused on linking Cardano with real-world assets such as credit markets and business lending.
  • Van Rossem Hard Fork on July 18: Expected to improve smart contracts, privacy features, and introduce zero-knowledge proof capabilities.

The analyst believes these upgrades could address some of Cardano’s key criticisms, particularly regarding scalability and user adoption.

Price Outlook for Cardano

On the pricing front, the analyst remarked that ADA’s current value of around $0.15 doesn’t accurately reflect the growing whale accumulation, the potential impact of a spot ETF, or significant upgrades like Leios and RealFi. While he isn’t explicitly urging investors to jump in, he did note that even if ADA were to drop below $0.10, ongoing institutional interest, ETF prospects, and improving network fundamentals could set the stage for a strong rebound in the next crypto bull market. Overall, the cryptocurrency has seen a 1.62% decline in the last 24 hours.

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