On Monday, the top super PAC for House Democrats invested more than $2.2 million in traditionally Republican districts that they are optimistic about flipping.
The House Majority PAC directed $2.2 million toward television ads against Republican Rep. Brad Finstad in Minnesota’s first district and another $380,000 targeting Republican Rep. Victoria Spartz in Indiana’s fifth district, as first noted by Punchbowl. In both districts, Donald Trump won—by 12 points in Finstad’s and 17 points in Spartz’s.
According to a KAAL-TV/Survey USA poll, Democratic candidate Jake Johnson is narrowly leading Finstad by two points. While Spartz retains a lead over Democratic Indiana state Sen. J.D. Ford, the Cook Political Report has adjusted the race status from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican.”
“With just eight days left before Election Day, Democrats are broadening the playing field and pushing Republicans onto the defensive,” commented Mike Smith, president of House Majority PAC. “We will reclaim the House next week, and Hakeem Jeffries will become the next Speaker.”
House Majority PAC (D) announces $2.54 million in late TV spending against GOP Reps. Victoria Spartz and Brad Finstad https://t.co/65Q7GRjUDA
— Patrick Svitek (@PatrickSvitek) October 26, 2026
Recently, the Cook Political Report shifted the ratings of 19 House races toward Democrats, affecting several red districts. Four Republican-held seats were moved from “Toss Up” to “Lean Democratic,” impacting district representatives like Juan Ciscomani in Arizona, Gabe Evans in Colorado, Jen Kiggans in Virginia, and Derrick Van Orden in Wisconsin.
Additionally, two races, Texas’ 34th district and North Carolina’s eleventh district, have shifted from toss ups to leaning Democratic. In Texas’ 34th district, Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez is seeking reelection. In North Carolina, Republican Rep. Chuck Edwards announced he wouldn’t run again after reports of misconduct.
In a surprising turn, Republicans have scaled back their expectations for some House races that they once hoped to win this November. The Congressional Leadership Fund, which is the leading super PAC for House Republicans, cut $6 million from Florida’s 25th district while putting $9 million into districts held by their party. This specific district was redistricted to favor Republicans.
Meanwhile, Trump’s political group, No Stepping Back PAC, invested over $25 million in House races, including $6.3 million in Florida’s 25th district.
The super PAC also reduced its spending by $3 million in Texas’ 28th district, aimed at helping Republicans defeat Democratic Rep. Henry Cuellar, who lost the district by seven points to Trump in 2024.
Ultimately, Republicans are channeling substantial funds into Senate races across red states like Texas, Kansas, and Iowa to retain their seats post-midterms while cutting back in North Carolina and Georgia, where Democratic candidates appear to have solid leads.
