The fallout from Biden’s poor debate performance with former President Donald Trump continues this week, with recent reports showing six Electoral College states tilted in Trump’s favor.
Cook Political Report Released on Tuesday Indicated Three states – Arizona, Georgia and Nevada – moved from “close” to “Republican”, two – Minnesota and New Hampshire – moved from “likely” to “Democrat”, and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District moved from “likely” to “Democrat”.
Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report said the electoral maps show Trump has a “clear advantage” over Biden.
“The president [race] “It was a stretch to say it was even a 50-50 vote before the debate,” Wasserman said on X. “Today, Trump has a clear advantage over Biden, and a path to winning 270 electoral votes seems a lot more realistic.”
The idea that the presidential race was evenly split was already a stretch before the debate, and now Trump has a clear lead over Biden, making his path to 270 electoral votes a much more realistic one.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) July 9, 2024
Amy Walter, Editor in Chief, Cook Political Report, He said Washington insiders have expressed hope that bad poll results will prompt Biden to announce he will drop out of the race.
“Insiders I spoke to over the weekend expected a ‘flood’ of Democratic defections by Monday,” Walter said. “As of Tuesday morning, defections have been minimal. Still, many anxious lower-tier Democrats and donors are hoping that the Biden campaign, faced with worsening poll numbers and a fiercely hostile press corps, will understand the gravity of the situation and gracefully announce its withdrawal from the race. As of this writing, that seems unlikely.”
“While we can’t ignore the uncertainty of the moment, we can make a calm assessment of where we are and where we might be going,” Walter added.
The report also found that Trump “holds leads of three points or more in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada, while Biden holds leads of less than one percentage point in Wisconsin and Michigan.” Washington Examiner, Meanwhile, Trump was down 0.7 points. lead In Pennsylvania, Walter said a two-point shift in the race could be groundbreaking.
“For example, if Trump wins the national popular vote by 3 points, that would be a 7-point improvement from his 2020 vote share,” Walter says. “In other words, any state or district that Biden wins by 8 points or less would be a battleground state.”
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