President Biden easily won the Democratic primary in New Hampshire, defeating Representative Dean Phillips by 39 points in the traditional first-in-the-nation primary. Mr. Biden's easy victory was made all the more remarkable because his name did not actually appear on the primary ballot, forcing his supporters to write him in as their preference.
The election was technically an “unofficial” primary, as it took place despite the Democratic National Committee's insistence that South Carolina would hold the first Democratic primary of the year.
New Hampshire Democrats forced the vote anyway, in accordance with state law that requires nomination contests to be held at the beginning of the calendar year. As a result, the DNC announced it would not award delegates based on New Hampshire's results.
Biden's team announced in late October that he would not be participating. This means he will not appear on the ballot and will only be a “write-in” candidate. Although Phillips campaigned heavily in the Granite State, he was unable to make significant inroads.
Biden wins New Hampshire Democratic primary after write-in campaign
Remarkably, President Biden won New Hampshire's unofficial Democratic primary on Tuesday night after voters had to mark him as their preference. (Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images)
A Fox News voter analysis of more than 900 New Hampshire Democratic primary voters outlines a landslide victory for the incumbent. At the same time, the data suggests divisions within the Biden coalition on several fronts.
Biden won by double-digit margins in every major demographic group. He was especially popular among voters over 65, college graduates and women. The race was somewhat close among the boys.
Mr. Biden won by 52 points among voters 45 and older, but significantly lagged among younger voters.
The president enjoys strong support from all corners of the centrist and left spectrum, including voters who identify as politically moderate (62%), “somewhat liberal” (64%), and “very liberal.” obtained the majority of votes. (58%).
Three-quarters of primary voters approved of the job Biden is doing as president.
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His employment ratings were particularly positive regarding the economy (80% approval, 19% disapproval) and student loans (73% approval, 25% disapproval). Primary voters gave him less positive marks for his handling of immigration and the conflict between Israelis and Palestinians.
Despite their dissatisfaction with these two issues, more than half (55%) said they would be satisfied with Biden as the eventual Democratic nominee, but are dissatisfied enough not to support him in November. Only 13% were people.
By contrast, 53% of Republican primary voters were satisfied with Donald Trump as the candidate, and 35% said they were dissatisfied enough not to vote for him. Only 39% of Republicans are satisfied with Nikki Haley, and 32% are dissatisfied enough to not support her in the fall.
Even if they were happy with Biden as the nominee, Democratic primary voters clearly had concerns about his age.
Nearly half of voters felt he was too old to serve another term as president, including more than a quarter (27%) of his supporters in the primary.
Nearly all (83%) who think Biden is not too old support the president, but Phillips has a slight advantage (+3) among those who think Biden is too old for another term. points) were maintained.
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One thing primary voters can agree on is abortion. Almost all (94%) feel that abortion should be legal in all or most cases.
Nearly 6 in 10 people said it was important for him to be No. 1 in the nation in the New Hampshire primary, but the dispute with the Democratic National Committee did not deter Biden. Among those who felt it was important to be in first place, Biden won by a large margin (+28 points) and those who disagreed (+53 points).
methodology
Fox News Voter Analysis is a survey of more than 900 New Hampshire Democratic primary voters conducted January 17-23, 2024. Full methodology details are available. here.
