of Union of Faith and Freedom hopes to energize low-leaning evangelical and Catholic voters for former President Donald Trump in what founder and chairman Ralph Reed calls “the best ground campaign” he's ever seen. I have been working on this.
“We're reaching 10 million doors, just faith and freedom.” [Coalition]. “That's half the doors that the entire Republican Party knocked on four years ago,” Reid said in an interview. Breitbart News Saturday. “That doesn't apply to Trump's actions. Turning Point or the SBA doesn't count. [Pro-Life America]. It doesn't take into account what Elon Musk is doing through his PAC. ”
“I can tell you right now, this is the best ground combat I've ever seen…I'm not talking about robocalls or computer-generated text messages. I'm talking about door-to-door combat. “I’m talking about calls from people ahead and volunteers,” he added. “This is more than we have ever offered as a movement. ”
In an interview with Breitbart's DC bureau chief Matthew Boyle, Reid talked about the numbers he's getting from faith voters in battleground states, what percentage of them are Trump supporters, and how a few percentage point boost in turnout could sway Trump by thousands. He specifically explained what he might support. Vote to ensure victory in November.
“We primarily focus on low-propensity self-identified evangelical voters, model pro-life, and social conservatives who have voted in one or fewer of the past three elections,” he said. said.
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The Faith and Freedom Coalition estimates that 25 to 27 percent of voters identify as evangelical conservative Christians, and another 10 to 11 percent are devout, Mass-going Catholics, Reed said. .
“So that's 37 percent to 38 percent of the electorate. That's more than the Hispanic vote, the African American vote and the labor union vote combined,” he said.
“As you and I speak today, Donald Trump has already won 82 percent of the evangelical vote. “I think he's on track…to the point where he's matching his 2020 margin, which was 84 percent, and I think he can go even higher.”
“Next we turn to the Roman Catholic vote, which will be particularly important in upper Midwest states such as Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. “He has already won the Catholic vote today, 52 to 47 percent,” he said. Pew Research data The remarks were taken before Vice President Kamala Harris became the first presidential candidate since the 1980s, noting that she declined to attend the Al Smith dinner.
Surprisingly, the organization's post-mortem analysis of the 2022 and 2024 primaries found that by visiting these low-propensity religious voters and doing at least two door knocks with vote verification and phone assistance, they It has been revealed that voter turnout could increase by 5 to 11 times. percent, Reed said.
“When you have these people coming, more people coming than you had in 2020 or 2016, no poll is going to pick it up,” he said. “It's going to be a big surprise to a lot of people, including all the media pollsters.”
Boyle said increased turnout in battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin could mean “probably tens or hundreds of thousands” more votes for Trump than in previous elections. He pointed out that there is a gender.
“This is definitely a game changer,” Reid responded.
So let's take an example. Take Georgia, for example. There are 1.9 million modeled social conservative voters, 535,000 of whom are low-propensity voters. Look, you can't deliver a doorknock to all of them. Because some of them live in rural areas where efficiency is low. So let's say you knock on the door twice and get 400,000 results. Let's say 5% conservatively. That's 20,000 votes. 40,000 votes if it goes up 10% [other pollsters] They model these polls on 2020 turnout, so it's not counted. ”
“What I'm saying is these people are coming, and they're coming in larger numbers. The difference in the Catholic vote will be extremely significant in states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. “I think his lead is going to be bigger than his lead against Hillary Clinton,” he said.
Reade said Democrats “had to get rid of Biden,” but Catholics who “held their noses and voted because Joe Biden was one of them” “wouldn't do that for Kamala Harris.” ” he opined.
“I think we have support, too, and that's support from voters who, by a 3-to-1 margin, all voters express dissatisfaction with the direction of the country. Biden. “I don't like the policy of,” he said. “[Harris] They are trying to change the economy, inflation, all of this runaway spending, open borders with humanitarian, national security and criminal crises, and wars on almost every continent on earth, and those policies and how they affect the American people. I am unable to separate myself from the negative influence it has on me. ”
Reid said he believes the left-wing media and Democrats are downplaying conservatives' ground campaign ahead of the election to distract from the long list of policy failures.
“I think they're up to their usual shenanigans. It's the same reason they talked about the childless cat lady in Springfield for two weeks and they talked about Haitian immigrants for three weeks,” he said.
“I mean, to be honest, [the media are] At this point, it joined forces with the Democratic Party and the left. And it's the same reason why Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, and all these Democratic Senate candidates only want to talk about two things: Project 2025 and abortion. Because they don't want to talk about the issues voters care about: the economy, inflation, crime, borders, etc. ”
“These issues are a loser for them,” he added. “handHey, I'm trying to change the subject. I just don't think it will work. ”
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